Pro Hockey Betting — Isles-Caps: Should We Root Root Root For the Home Team?

An analysis of the New York Islanders this season hasn’t had to be too complicated. They have largely played like a Stanley Cup champion at home and like an also-ran on the road.

The Islanders have been so dominant at the Nassau Coliseum that it was actually kind of surprising to us that they couldn’t even put a goal on the board during regulation time against the Washington Capitals on Thursday night.

But the fact is that they didn’t, and in a very tightly-contested East Division, they lost a share of first place and are now in third position, with the Boston Bruins just three points behind and with a game in hand.

The Islanders and Caps will once again get together on Saturday in Uniondale, Long Island. And BetAnySports gives you the opportunity to grab some better odds with reduced juice as well as great live wagering with Sports Betting Prime.

As you will see, the Islanders are the favorites;

WASHINGTON CAPITALS at NEW YORK ISLANDERS
7:08 PM ET Saturday – Nassau Coliseum, Uniondale, NY

Money Line: Islanders -137 / Capitals +117
Total: Under 5.5 Goals -125 / Over 5.5 Goals +105
Puck Line: Islanders -1.5 Goals (+180) / Capitals +1.5 Goals (-220)

Thursday’s game went the initial 60 minutes without any scoring. Then the Caps won in a shootout, in a contest that featured outstanding goaltending from Washington’s Ilya Samsonov and the Islanders’ Semyon Varlamov.

Not scoring at home has been out of character for the Islanders. They have been the NHL’s highest scoring home team, averaging 3.5 goals per game. The end result is a 19-5 won-lost record on the island.

And this is a team that has generally gotten off to pretty good starts at home, which helps. They have, in fact, outscored the opponents 30-11 in the first period. No, they did not have a first period goal on Thursday, but they did seem to dominate the action, outshooting the Caps 15-4 over the first 20 minutes. More quality chances, obviously, will result in more goals in the long run.

The Islanders are tied with Pittsburgh for the second spot in the East, a point behind Washington. So as you can imagine, every day there could conceivably be a change in the division leader, and as we mentioned, the Bruins could soon join the party. This is probably the most exciting race in the NHL right now.

Under Barry Trotz, who won the Stanley Cup with Washington but didn’t stick around and wound up with the Isles, the home team here is defensive-minded (allowing third fewest goals in league). Some of the pundits feel that the injury loss of Anders Lee is going to be their undoing in the end. Their winning percentage without him is only slightly lower than it was with him, but his leadership value (he was team captain) is hard to calculate.

It could be that the Islanders are trending downward. But we still have to respect what they do at home. And with a 20-1-2 record when they score first, their proficiency in first period action at the Coliseum has to be a factor as well.

We realize how good Washington is. But we’re going to pay the price to see the Islanders rebound at home.

Play NY ISLANDERS (-137)

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NHL Picks — Should You Vote For the Senators on Saturday?

Remember at the beginning of the season we were talking about how bad the Ottawa Senators were? Clearly this was one of the real disaster areas of the NHL season.

But is it possible that the Senators are now turning this thing around a little? Well, judging from their performance last time out against the Vancouver Canucks the other night, they look that way.

Can they do it again? They’ll try, at 10:08 PM ET at the Rogers Arena in Vancouver.

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Let’s take a look at the odds here. As you will see – and this should be no surprise – the Canucks are the favorites:

OTTAWA SENATORS at VANCOUVER CANUCKS
10:08 PM ET – Rogers Arena, Vancouver

Money Line: Canucks -140 / Senators +120
Total: Over 6 Goals -110 / Under 6 Goals -110
Puck Line: Canucks -1.5 Goals (+170) / Senators +1.5 Goals (-200)

When the Senators lost 13 of their first 15 games, there were plenty of calls for the head of coach DJ Smith. The team could not defend. And they weren’t so good on the offensive end either.

But you know, sometimes things turn around for a team, particularly when there are a group of young kids who are just trying to come together.

And it can be said that the Senators are starting to turn the corner.

As is the case in Major League Baseball and the National Basketball Association, there are instances where a team takes to “tanking” in an effort to get the higher draft pick, since they are looking at more in the way of long-term prospects than anything in the short term. And the Senators, who are part of the seven-team North Division – made up of all the Canadian franchises – are in last place, too far out to make a playoff run.

But over their last 30 games that are an even 14-14 in regulation time (they’ve lost twice in extra time), so at the moment, are they all that far behind a lot of middle-of-the-road teams, even some that might be ticketed for the playoffs?

This team is clearly not jumping in the tank. They haven’t given up. In fact, their players are talking about going to the arena every night and having fun.

Certainly the 3-0 win over the Canucks on Thursday night has to be considered “fun.” They got an other-wordly performance by goaltender Matt Murray, who was part of two Stanley Cup-winning team with the Pittsburgh Penguins but is still only 26 years of age.

Murray is not having a great season – his save percentage is under the .900 mark, for example – but after an injury absence, he has come back looking like a changed guy. Murray is 3-0-1 in his last four games, with a pair of shutouts, and he’s had a .967 save percentage over that time.

He’s got better defense in front of him than he did before, and on four different occasions when Vancouver had a man advantage the other night, he turned them back.

Ottawa had lost all five meetings with the Canucks, but the results were different in the two “series” they’ve had. The first time around, in January, they lost three games by a combined score of 16-3. But the two losses that took place in March were both tied at the end of regulation time. And then came the shutout win.

Vancouver still has a playoff chance, theoretically. They were sidelined for about three weeks by the NHL and its COVID protocols, so they have five games in hand on fourth-place Montreal, which is ten points ahead of them in the standings. But this is one of the least explosive teams in the NHL. And maybe they’re not at a point of “sharpness” after just three games back in action, although admittedly two of those were wins over the Toronto Maple Leafs, who were perhaps caught sleeping.

This may not be a bad price for us to take a shot with the underdog.

Play OTTAWA +120

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UFC 261 Betting — Does Masvidal Have Any Unpleasant Surprises for Usman This Time?

Jorge Masvidal has been in the Octagon with Kamaru Usman before. And the whole experience turned out not to be pleasant. He expects things to be a lot less chaotic as he gets another shot to win the UFC Welterweight championship.

That’s going to happen at the Veterans Memorial Coliseum in Jacksonville on Saturday, April 24. UFC 261 is a pay-per-view event, of course, and you’ll be able to follow along with the action much better if you have taken advantage of wagering on all the props on the card that have been furnished by the people at BetOnline.

Usman is the guy who’s got almost a spotless record of 19-1. He is on a 17-fight winning streak, with 13 of those wins coming in the UFC. A native of Nigeria, he is a former NCAA Division II wrestling champion (University of Nebraska-Kearney), he entered the UFC through The Ultimate Fighter, and gradually worked his way up the ranks. In March 2019 he decisioned Tyron Woodley to win the welterweight title. He’s defended three times, the last time in February as he stopped Gilbert Burns in three rounds.

Masvidal is a guy who has been all over the place, fighting for a slew of different promotions. He has won “Performance of the Night” four times in the UFC, where he startled everybody in July 2019 when he hit Ben Askren with a flying knee and knocked him out in five seconds. That’s a UFC record, and he punched Askren’s exit ticket 114 seconds sooner than Jake Paul just did in a hands-only bout.

Other notable wins include a second-round TKO of Donald Cerrone in January 2017 and a stoppage on cuts over Nate Diaz in November 2019 (UFC 244). When Usman’s opponent at UFC 251, Burns, was shelved with COVID-19, Masvidal took the fight as a substitute. The fight was rather uneventful, as Usman controlled the action virtually from beginning to end on the way to a decision victory.

Now Masvidal has had sufficient advance time to get ready, and promises a radically-different outcome.

Here are the UFC 261 betting odds on the main event, as they are posted at BetOnline:

Kamaru Usman -385
Jorge Masvidal +320

To say that things did not go well for Masvidal the first time around would be something of an understatement. But those who support him are quick to point out that he had to cut about 20 pounds within a 5-6 day period. In the rematch, that’s not going to be the case.

Now, having said that, does he have enough class to reign supreme here?

Well, he would have to see him present something that, stylistically, presents a puzzle for Usman. Remember that Masvidal is a noted striker, but he is not well-regarded as a wrestler. And clearly Usman is going to seek to grapple, as that increases the level of his advantage. We already know that.

At the same time, we can say that Usman did not have a lot of time to train for Masvidal last time out. We say that because he was actually training for a different kind of opponent; someone who was coming at him in a different way than Gilbert Burns was expected to.

We might also note that he beat Burns on strikes, so he is not necessarily weak in that area.

But for this rematch, he’s had a lot of time to prepare himself for this opponent. And he is fully prepared to ride it out and go the distance, as that is what five of his last seven bouts have done. Fights that “go long” might tend to favor the guy who can keep it on the ground, and is better at it, because you can kill more of the clock that way.

How we visualize this thing just doesn’t “trend” toward a Masvidal victory.

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NFL Draft Odds — Jets Need to Surround New Quarterback with Weapons

BetOnline has all kinds of wagering options available for the NFL Draft, which begins on April 29 at 8 PM ET.

One of them involves the second overall draft. Now, we admit that it is more or less a fait accompli, something that is reflected in the odds, but it gives us a chance to talk a little about the New York Jets, who own that pick and are priced at +1400 to win the AFC East in 2021.

NFL 2021 Draft — 2nd Pick Overall

Zach Wilson -2500
Justin Fields +850
Trey Lance +1600
Penei Sewell +3300

Last season was an unmitigated disaster for the Jets, although some of Adam Gase’s harsher critics could swear they saw all of it coming. The team has had so little to offer in the way of firepower that you can almost make the case that it’s difficult to gauge the progress of Sam Darnold.

But Joe Douglas and new head coach Robert Saleh apparently figured that it was time for a change. Maybe they thought this was about as far as they could go with him. So dealing him away to the Carolina Panthers is a sure sign that they take a quarterback when they pick second. So you can forget about Penei Sewell (+3300), as good a player as he is. And the Jets were happy with tackle Mekhi Becton, last year’s #1 pick, who had some dominant moments when he was healthy.

Wilson is rightfully the huge favorite at BetOnline, but he could be facing some of the same fundamental problems as Darnold did. This team needs more pop in its offense. They have taken a few steps. Le’Veon Bell was simply not used right by Gase, and he forced them to let him go. Tevin Coleman was with Saleh and offensive coordinator Mike LaFleur in San Francisco, but it is doubtful he can be the lead back. Keep in mind, however, that the Jets also have the 23rd, 34th and 66th overall picks, so they can snag a useful running back in the draft.

Wide receiver Keelan Cole had 642 yards with Jacksonville last season, but the big acquisition among the skill guys is Corey Davis, who was just below the 1000-yard mark in Tennessee last year. As it stands right now, he would be the #1 threat Wilson would be targeting against opposing secondaries.

The Jets actually need TWO quarterbacks, because invariably you want that veteran on hand to steady the big-ticket rookie, and maybe even keep the seat warm until the kid’s ready. Joe Flacco was last year’s backup, and he was pressed into action when Darnold was hurt. But he has departed. Reportedly the Jets were talking with Brian Hoyer, but there are other possibilities, and that may include a return for Teddy Bridgewater, depending on what the Panthers ultimately do with him after picking up Darnold, although we don’t think he’d fit under the salary cap.

Wilson was a highly-touted prospect for BYU coming out of high school, but was considered an underachiever by some after his first two seasons. As a junior, however, he sprouted. Wilson had 33 touchdown passes with only three interceptions, averaging eleven yards an attempt. And although the Cougars were not able to play the most robust schedule, he did burn Houston for 400 yards, Boise State for 360 and UCF for 425.

Wilson is praised for “athletic ability,” which generally means he can pull the ball down and run with it. But he also is able to improvise well, and has a quick release, with the ability to throw it on the run. Whether he can contribute more than Darnold did is anybody’s guess.

Or maybe it isn’t. Gil Brandt, the Hall of Fame personnel man who helped create years of greatness with the Dallas Cowboys of the 60s, 70s and 80s, said that given a choice between Wilson and Trevor Lawrence (the likely #1 pick), he’d take Wilson. And, “Honestly, I’m surprised the Jaguars’ new head coach didn’t show up at BYU’s pro day.”

Will Urban Meyer wind up regretting that decision?

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Golf Betting — Despite Masters flop, Dustin Johnson is U.S. Open Favorite

The Masters tournament is played on the same course every year. But the other majors aren’t. The U.S.Open is the next major on the calendar, and it is being played at Torrey Pines Golf Course in San Diego. It’s a site that is not used to hosting majors, but in 2008 it was the site where Tiger Woods won a 19-hole playoff against Rocco Mediate to capture a U.S. Open – his last major triumph until the 2019 Masters – in a genuine thriller.

Some BetOnline customers who watch golf on a regular basis may know that Torrey Pines holds a PGA event every year – the Farmers Insurance Open. But the USGA has explained that the course that players saw in that tournament is not the one they’ll see when they convene from June 17-20.

There are two courses at Torrey Pines. The North course draws much critical acclaim; it was re-designed by Tom Weiskopf. But they’ll only be using the South course for this shindig.

It is, in fact, the longest course used in any PGA event. And it’s going to be getting even a little longer – up to 7802 yards, in fact. The tenth hole is being lengthened, and the 15th has been extended by 35 yards. And while the public (yes, this IS a public course) plays it to a Par 72, this will be a Par 71, with the sixth hole going from a Par 5 to a Par 4.

Got that?

Marc Leishman, who won the 2020 Farmers and just tied for fifth at The Masters, doesn’t feel that his prowess at Torrey Pines means very much. In fact, he thinks it will play like a completely different course.

When Tiger won in 2008, he was the only player in the field to finish in the top ten in both the Farmers and the Open.

Here are the odds (+3500 and below) to win the U.S. Open, according to the folks at BetOnline….. If you notice, Dustin Johnson, who missed the cut in The Masters as he was trying to repeat as champion, is the favorite:

Dustin Johnson +900
Jon Rahm +1100
Bryson DeChambeau +1200
Justin Thomas +1200
Brooks Koepka +1400
Jordan Spieth +1600
Rory McIlroy +1600
Xander Schauffele +1600
Collin Morikawa +2000
Patrick Cantlay +2000
Hideki Matsuyama +2500
Daniel Berger +2800
Patrick Reed +2800
Viktor Hovland +2800
Adam Scott +3300
Tommy Fleetwood +3300
Tony Finau +3300
Webb Simpson +3300
Will Zalatoris +3300
Tyrell Hatton +3500

There you have a list of the usual suspects.

But one thing you have to understand about the U.S. Open is that it has more than its share of winners who had never been heard from before, and haven’t been heard from much again.

That includes Lucas Glover, the 2009 champion, who has had only three PGA Tour wins in his 19 years as a professional. Andy North won the U.S. Open not once but twice (1978, 1985), and had only one other victory on tour. After 1985, he missed the cut in seven of his next ten U.S.Open appearances, finishing no better than 37th.

Cyril Walker was the 1924 champion, beating Bobby Jones.That was his only top ten in the U.S.Open. He did reach the quarterfinals of the PGA Championship (a match play event at the time) in 1931. Nine years later, he was working as a caddy at a municipal golf course in Miami Beach.

And then there is the case of Orville Moody. We must explain that the U.S. Open allows for players to go through local and sectional qualifying, meaning that anyone with a two-handicap or better can give it a try. Moody qualified through this process in 1969, then proceeded to win the tournament. It was his only victory in a PGA Tour event, although we should mention that he won plenty of times on the Senior Tour.

There are a number of other examples. The point we’re trying to make is that it should be no surprise if the eventual winner comes out of nowhere, so maybe it’s not a bad idea to look further down the odds list and, well, look for someone who could come out of nowhere.

Does that make sense?

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NFL Draft Betting — Will Political Incorrectness Scare Niners Off Mac Jones?

One of the things that is going to make this NFL Draft a lot more fun is that you can engage in draft props that are produced by the folks at BetOnline. Even though we are pretty certain about who’s going to be taken first (Trevor Lawrence, by Jacksonville), what comes after that is not certain at all.

For example, the third pick is owned by the San Francisco 49ers.

Here are the latest odds on who that is going to be:

NFL 2021 Draft — 3rd Pick Overall

Justin Fields, QB.Ohio State -180
Mac Jones, QB, Alabama +120
Trey Lance, QB, North Dakota State +500
Zach Wilson, QB, BYU +2500

The 49ers obviously moved into this spot for a reason. And that reason is to draft a quarterback.

It’s not completely because they are dissatisfied with Jimmy Garoppolo. But they are not optimistic about him being part of their future. And he seems unusually prone to injuries.

As the rumor mill stood at one time, the guy they had their eyes on was Mac Jones, who took over for Tua Tagovailoa about midway through the 2019 season, and then had a terrific campaign in leading Alabama to the national title in 2020.

We can tell you that the early mock drafts had Jones well down the board, going late in the first round. But he’s risen. To be honest, there have been some reservations about him among the NFL scouts.

One is that he does not have any mobility. But people like Richard Sherman have commented that he thinks there is a “recency bias,” meaning that because of the success of quarterbacks who can pull the ball down and run with it, The classic dropback QB’s tend to be looked down upon.

And of course, there is that feeling the Jones has had the best athletes around him and that has served to make his performances look better. But you wouldn’t be honest if you didn’t admit that he has added an awful lot to that offense, which was being stewarded by Steve Sarkisian this past season.

We have heard skepticism about the strength of his arm, but Jones threw 15% of his passes at least 20 yards down the field, and produced 18 touchdowns that way. Furthermore, he has completed 64% of his passes that have gone at least 30 yards down the field. He was at the helm of one of the two or three most efficient offenses in the history of college football. And he earned the highest single-season quarterback rating ever from the people at Pro Football Focus.

What has been pointed out time and again is that Jones only made 17 starts as a collegian. But you can’t argue too much with his numbers from the 2020 season – a 77.4% accuracy rate, 41 touchdown passes and only four interceptions.

So why did he go from a favorite of -175 in this prop to an underdog of +120 below Justin Fields at BetOnline? Well, one of those things that emerges every year about one of draftees – in the way of “dirt” – has been revealed about Jones, and critics are taking advantage of it.

It seems that when he was just 14 years old, Jones, for the purposes of a Halloween costume, wore a shirt that said “Nobama” (an obvious reference to then-President Barack Obama) and a wig of dreadlocks. And that went out on Twitter.

So now the speculation revolves around how that politically-incorrect action from eight years ago might affect his draft status.

It should be noted that Nick Bosa was also “captured” with some politically-correct statements – which he actually posted directly to Twitter – which were screenshot before he was able to tear them down. And he was roasted by the woke crowd. But that did not prevent the Niners from drafting him second overall.

Will San Francisco be singing a different tune this time around, only two years later? Perhaps the decision comes down to who fits better into Kyle Shanahan’s offensive vision. Remember that he comes from the same coaching “tree” that has produced Sean McVay of the Rams, who has replaced one dropback passer (Jared Goff) with another (Matthew Stafford).

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NBA Picks — Knicks vs. Pelicans: Nawlins can “ball” without Ball for now

What happens when you’ve got two NBA teams who aren’t really hell-bent on throwing up three-point shots? Well, you’ve probably got to look at other factors in determining who is going to win and/or cover.

And that is the situation we’re looking at as the New York Knicks take their show to the Big Easy for a game against the New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday night at the Smoothie King Center.

Both of these squads come into the action with three-game winning streaks, but the Knicks (28-27 SU, 32-21-1 ATS) are in the better position, as they are sixth overall in the Eastern Conference, and thus may be able to avoid having to be involved in the risky play-in tournament, while the Pelicans (25-29 both SU & ATS) can only hope they can qualify, as they are sitting in 11th place in the Western Conference.

Game time is 8 PM ET on Wednesday (they’ll meet again Sunday at the Garden), and you should know that BetAnySports customers will have an opportunity to place wagers on this game even after it has begun, using the facilities that are available through Sports Betting Prime.

And here are their NBA betting odds on the game:

New Orleans Pelicans -3
New York Knicks +3

Over 220 points -110
Under 220 points -110

There is little question that the Pelicans have been a disappointment, Having Zion Williamson from the start of the season should have been something to propel them into the eight-team playoff queue, at the very least. Zion has done his part, averaging 26.8 points and 7.1 rebounds. And Brandon Ingram has scored a lot of points too (24 a game).You’ve got some nice role players like enforcer Steven Adams. Yet they haven’t gotten enough results.

Here is a team that has been very good at getting to the free throw line (second highest ratio of FT attempts to FG attempts) but has been a subpar 73.2% from the line.

They have not defended particularly well either; New Orleans has been permissive to teams who shoot well from long range, allowing 15 treys per game.

But you have to ask yourself – are the Knicks really in a great position to exploit that kind of thing?

New York has torn a page out of Gregg Popovich’s book, it seems, in that it does not try a lot of threes (28th in the league in that category), yet hits at a high percentage (37.5%). Ultimately it gets around to whether it’s “their style.”

And it isn’t. Second-year man RJ Barrett has made progress (especially at the charity stripe) and ex-Pelican Julius Randle has been simply sensational for the Knickerbockers (23 ppg / 10.7 rpg / 6 apg). But offensive threats do not abound.

Instead, this team has vaulted itself into playoff contention on the strength of the defensive ethic instilled by Tom Thibodeau, who deserves to be a candidate for Coach of the Year. They allow a lower shooting percentage and fewer points than any other team in the league.

And they do muzzle the three-point shooting efforts of opponents, holding them to just 33.8%. Much of the NBA is moving in the direction of shooting triples, but New Orleans hardly goes overboard with it; in fact, they are 23rd in the NBA in three-point attempts. So how much will they be stymied by the New York defensive scheme?

What might be worth pointing out is that the Pelicans have a rebound margin of +6.3 per game, and they lead the league in offensive rebounding percentage, so they are going to take some of those misses and get second chances. Lonzo Ball will not likely be available to play the point. His dad was hopeful he could “showcase” himself to the Knicks so they’d be interested in him in free agency. He’s doubtful, and it would be the fourth straight game he’s missed.

But they won the previous three. I simply like the overall matchup for the Pelicans here, so we’re laying the points.

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Experience the $25 Risk-Free Player Props Wager at BetOnline

We don’t know if you are new to the world of sports betting, but if you are, you might not realize that there are things to place wagers on things aside from pointspreads and totals (otherwise known as “over-unders”).

Some of the most colorful things you can wager on at BetOnline are called “player props.” These concern certain player performance measurements for any particular game.

For example, if you are looking at a football game, you may see props (short for propositions) that cover the number of passing yards each quarterback has. And perhaps other things, such as the number of attempts, completions, touchdown passes, interceptions, longest passing play, and even more.

And you could see the same for running backs, wide receivers, and so on. There is a mechanism by which you can also bet on one player’s totals against another’s, or even to create your own prop between players.

BetOnline is offering you a great deal – if you utilize their state-of-the-art software to create and customize your own player prop wager, you will be reimbursed for the amount of your FIRST wager if you happen to lose it.

So what does that mean?

Well, it means that if you place a bet of $25 in the software and it wins, you’re ahead of the game. If you lose the bet, you will be reimbursed, by the people at BetOnline, for up to $25.

To make that happen, just send an email to freeplay@betonline.ag with your account number and the ticket number of your transaction. Do it within 24 hours of the completion of the event you bet on (oh, and make sure you write “$25 players prop free bet” in the subject line. You will then be reimbursed for whatever amount that losing bet came to, up to a $25 free play.

So how do you get things underway?

What you’re going to do is go into the sportsbook and click on the red button that says “Player Props.” That will take you right into the interface, and you can “Build” whatever kind of player prop you want.

It’s interesting that there are so many people who enjoy playing fantasy football – on a daily basis or otherwise – and many, obviously, who like to do sports betting. Some people like to do both.

And when you engage in player props, you are, in a sense, doing the same thing you’re doing with fantasy sports (football or another sport), in which you are, in effect, making that guy play for you. And you will apply some of the same principles.

It’s just so much fun when you’re using the props software.

And in effect, you get to do it with no risk the first time around when you take advantage of this promotion. And there is a very reasonable 6x rollover that is connected to the $25 Risk-Free Player Props Wager.

It’s really a great idea to open an account (through virtually any method, including Bitcoin) and stick around with BetOnline, because they are probably the most aggressive people in the industry when it comes to promotions that enhance the experience for their customers.

The Player Props free play is just one of those things. And it’s a great way to get started.

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Masters Props Betting — The 12th Hole: Someone’s Gonna Find the Water on Sunday

If you have followed The Masters through the years, you’ve heard one expert after another proclaim that “the tournament doesn’t start until the last nine holes on Sunday.”

Well, in that case, let’s skip ahead a little.

The people at BetOnline understand that huge mistakes on the back nine have made the difference between winning and losing through the years. And they also understand that there is no more hazardous hole than the Par 3,155-yard 12th, part of the famous “Amen Corner” and the one they call “Golden Bell.”

And that is why they have constructed a couple of special props for Sunday’s Round 4 action.

Here is one of them:

Balls in water on the 12th in Round 4?

Over 2½ Balls -200
Under 2½ Balls +150

We know some players who could have taken care of this prop all by themselves – well, almost – in the past. Of course, we’re referring to Rae’s Creek, which runs in front of the 12th green, at an angle to those teeing it up.

Arnold Palmer began his road to ruin there in the 1959 tournament, where he had a five-stroke lead on the final day. He wound up catching the creek on his tee shot and making a triple-bogey 6. That was decisive, as he lost by two shots to Art Wall.

In 1996, Greg Norman had a six-shot lead, but couldn’t avoid putting it in the creek. His double bogey ultimately contributed to one of those come-from-ahead losses for which he has become identified.

In 2016, Jordan Spieth, who looked as if he was on the verge of an astonishing second straight Masters win as a 22-year-old, came to the 12th and hit two balls into the water, which led to a quadruple bogey. He lost what was a three-shot lead on the back nine, and Danny Willett wound up wearing the green jacket that year.

Only two years ago, we saw the perils of erring at the 12th hole on Sunday, and the impact it could have on the golf tournament.

Francesco Molinari had the two-stroke lead, with Tony Finau, Tiger Woods, Brooks Koepka and Ian Poulter right in the thick of things.

At the 12th, Koepka, Finau, Poulter and Molinari ALL hit the ball into the water, leading to double-bogey 5. Woods was able to avoid such a mishap, and that led to Tiger’s historic win.

This hole is the shortest on the course. But it is, in the words of former Masters champion Fred Couples, “One of the most dangerous Par 3s around.”

One of the things that makes it so dangerous is the pin placement; tournament organizers make sure it is in the most difficult place on Sunday, which is on the right side of the green. And that green is extremely narrow, so there is not a lot of depth to work with. Even if you hit it to a “safe” place, which is on the left side (if you get it there), you’re very lucky if you do any better than a two-putt from there.

That’s the kind of thing Palmer was always happy to settle for. “All I ever wanted to do here was make three,” he said, “if I could figure out a way to do it.’

The 12th is, by and large, not the most difficult hole at Augusta National. But it has never played under par in any tournament. The historical average on this hole is 3.28 strokes; the lowest that average has ever been was in 2002, when it was 3.03 strokes.

Where the difficulty tends to get exponentially more severe is when the wind starts playing tricks. It’s a swirling wind that is liable to carry the ball anywhere and land it short (i.e., in the creek), even when that was anything BUT the intention.

It is intimidating enough to have even scared the immortal Bobby Jones, who got his ball wet and wound up with a bogey 5 in the inaugural Masters (then called the Augusta National Invitation) in 1934.

And consider that Jones was the co-designer of the course.

So yes, we would favor the “over” in such a proposition, as knees get weaker on Sunday. Will this happen to the tournament leader on the final day? Well, that’s anybody’s guess. But such a thing occurring is priced at +700 at BetOnline, where you are going to be able to enjoy hundreds and hundreds of wagering options on this year’s Masters tournament – literally anything you can think of. And you’ll also find special Masters Odds Boosters, so that you can get explosive payouts on parlays…… Open your account now, and do it any way you want – that includes all the cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin!

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