The 49ers are favored by -4.5 as they host the Cowboys at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, CA. This week eight NFC matchup is set for 8:20 ET on Sunday, October 27th and will be televised on NBC. The 49ers’ money line odds are -221, while the Cowboys’ odds are +180. The over/under line is set at 47 points.
DALLAS COWBOYS VS SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Francisco 49ers -4.5
This game will be played at Levi’s Stadium at 8:20 ET on Sunday, October 27th.
WHY BET THE SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS:
- We have the 49ers winning this one by a score of 32 to 23
- Not only do we have the 49ers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -4.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 47 points
Will The Cowboys Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Heading into week 8, the Cowboys have a 3-3 record, putting them 3rd in the NFC East. Dallas has been much better on the road this season, with all three of their wins coming away from home. This includes victories over the Giants and Steelers in weeks 4 and 5. However, they couldn’t keep the streak going in week 6, suffering a 47-9 home loss to the Lions.
According to our power rankings, the Cowboys sit 23rd in the NFL, and they have a 17.3% chance of making the playoffs. Against the spread, Dallas is 2-4, with both of their ATS wins coming as underdogs. Their O/U record is 4-2, with their games averaging 49 points per contest.
Heading into week 8, the Cowboys rank 21st in our offensive power rankings. They are 18th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 21 points per game, and 12th in yards per game with 336.5. Dallas has leaned heavily on the passing game, ranking 2nd in both passing attempts (39.7) and passing yards per game (259.3). However, they rank 28th in rushing attempts and 30th in rushing yards per game, averaging just 77.2 yards on the ground.
After throwing for 352 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 5, Dak Prescott struggled in week 6, finishing with 178 yards and 2 interceptions on 17/33 passing. The Cowboys also struggled on 3rd down, converting just 3 of 13 attempts, and failed to score on 3 red zone trips. CeeDee Lamb led the team with 7 catches for 89 yards, while Rico Dowdle had 25 rushing yards on 5 carries.
In their 47-9 loss to the Lions, the Cowboys’ defense gave up 492 yards and allowed Detroit to convert on 40% of their third down attempts. Dallas struggled to defend the run, giving up 184 yards on 36 attempts (5.1 per attempt) and allowed three passing touchdowns. They did manage to record three sacks, but Detroit still had a big day offensively, averaging 11.4 yards per passing attempt.
Despite the high number of sacks, the Cowboys lost the QB hit differential and tackles for loss differentials in their most recent game.
Are The 49ers Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Heading into week 8, the 49ers are 6th in our NFL power rankings despite their 3-4 record. Our projections give them a 44.5% chance of making the playoffs and a 39.2% chance of winning the NFC West. San Francisco is 1-2 in division games and 1-3 in conference play, putting them 3rd in the NFC West. They are 2-2 at home and 1-2 on the road.
The 49ers couldn’t build on their week 6 win over the Seahawks, losing 28-18 at home to the Chiefs in week 7. They were favored by 2.5 points but couldn’t get the win, dropping their ATS record to 3-4. San Francisco has been favored in all of their games this season. Their O/U record is 4-3, with their games averaging 48.3 points compared to an average line of 46.
Heading into week 8, the 49ers are 9th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 7th in the NFL in points per game (25.7) and 3rd in yards per game (404.3). San Francisco is 15th in passing attempts but 4th in passing yards, averaging 254.4 per game. They are 9th in rushing attempts and 7th in rushing yards, with 149.9 per game. On 3rd down, they rank 8th with a 42% conversion rate, but they are 21st in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 2nd in attempts.
Brock Purdy struggled in week 7, throwing for 212 yards and 3 interceptions against the Chiefs, finishing with a passer rating of 36. Before that, he had a 129 passer rating in week 6, with 255 yards and 3 touchdowns against Seattle. George Kittle led the team in week 7 with 6 catches for 92 yards, but he is questionable for week 8 with a foot injury.
In their 28-18 loss to the Chiefs, the 49ers’ defense allowed just 145 passing yards on 16 completions. However, they struggled to stop the run, giving up 184 yards on 39 attempts, averaging 4.7 yards per attempt. Despite this, the defense managed to come away with two interceptions and two sacks.
On third downs, the 49ers allowed the Chiefs to convert 57.1% of their chances. Even though they gave up 184 rushing yards, the 49ers did a good job limiting the Chiefs’ big plays in the running game.