ESPN will broadcast the Falcons vs. Raiders week 15 non-conference matchup, which kicks off at 8:30 ET on Monday, December 16th. The Falcons are favored on the road with a money line of -227, and their point spread is -4.5. The game is being played at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, with the Raiders at +185 on the money line and the over/under line is 44 points.
ATLANTA FALCONS VS LAS VEGAS RAIDERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Las Vegas Raiders +4.5
This game will be played at Allegiant Stadium at 8:30 ET on Monday, December 16th.
WHY BET THE LAS VEGAS RAIDERS:
- We have the Falcons winning this one by a score of 23 to 21
- Even though we like the Falcons to win, our ATS pick is to take the Raiders at +4.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 44 points
Will The Falcons Win As Road Favorites?
After a 4-game losing streak, the Falcons now sit at 6-7, putting them 2nd in the NFC South. Despite their recent struggles, they still have a 4-1 record in division games. Our projections give Atlanta a 30.6% chance of making the playoffs and a 26.0% chance of winning the division.
Against the spread, the Falcons are 5-8 this season and have failed to cover in 4 straight games. Their average scoring margin is -4.2 points per game. Their O/U record is 5-8, with their games averaging 47 points compared to an average line of 46.5.
Heading into week 15, the Falcons are 13th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 17th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 21.4, and are 8th in total yards per game with 371. Atlanta has leaned on their passing game, ranking 2nd in the league with 250.2 passing yards per game on 34 attempts per contest. On the ground, they average 120.8 rushing yards per game, ranking 12th in the NFL, on 27.6 attempts per game.
In week 14, Kirk Cousins threw for 344 yards, completing 23 of 37 passes, but he also had 2 interceptions and no touchdowns. Darnell Mooney led the receiving corps with 6 catches for 142 yards, while Bijan Robinson rushed for 92 yards and a touchdown on 22 carries. The Falcons scored 21 points against the Vikings, with 11 of those coming in the 3rd quarter.
In their 42-21 loss to the Vikings, the Falcons’ defense struggled to defend the pass, giving up five passing touchdowns and allowing a completion percentage of 78.6%. Minnesota finished with 318 passing yards and converted 66.7% of their third down attempts. Atlanta did manage to record four sacks and pressured the quarterback effectively, winning the QB hit differential and the tackles for loss differential.
Overall, the Falcons allowed 433 yards and 115 rushing yards on 24 attempts, with Minnesota averaging 4.8 yards per attempt on the ground. Atlanta’s secondary will be looking to bounce back after a tough outing in their most recent game.
Are The Raiders Going Win In At Upset At Allegiant Stadium
Heading into week 15, the Raiders are on a nine-game losing streak, dropping their record to 2-11. After a week 4 win over the Browns, Las Vegas has been unable to get back in the win column, including a 28-13 loss to the Buccaneers in week 14. The Raiders were 6.5-point underdogs in that game and couldn’t cover the spread, leaving their ATS record at 5-8 this season.
Our power rankings have the Raiders 25th going into week 15, and they have a -9.6 scoring margin this year. Their O/U record is 8-5, with the under hitting in two straight games. Las Vegas games have averaged 45.9 points this season, with an average O/U line of 41.4.
Heading into week 15, the Raiders rank 32nd in our offensive power rankings. They are 25th in the NFL in points per game (18.2) and yards per game (303). Despite ranking 4th in passing attempts, they are 16th in passing yards per game. On the ground, they are 29th in rushing attempts and last in rushing yards per game, averaging 79.1.
Las Vegas has struggled on 3rd down, converting just 34.3% of their attempts, which ranks 26th in the league. However, they have been efficient in the red zone, converting 54.3% of their opportunities, which ranks 4th. In week 14, they scored just 13 points against the Buccaneers, with Aidan O’Connell throwing for 104 yards and an interception.
In their 28-13 loss to the Buccaneers, the Raiders’ defense allowed 420 yards and 152 rushing yards on just 26 attempts. They gave up 268 yards through the air on 18 completions, with Tampa Bay averaging 9.2 yards per attempt and scoring three passing touchdowns.
Despite their struggles, the Raiders did manage to intercept two passes and recorded four sacks. The defense forced the Buccaneers into a 41.7% third-down conversion rate.