Category: NFL

The Bengals are the heavy favorite on the road as they take on the Cowboys on Monday, December 9th at 8:15 ET. This week 14 non-conference matchup is being televised on ESPN. The Bengals are -240 on the money line, and the Cowboys’ money line odds are +197. Cincinnati is favored by -5.5, and the over/under line is set at 50.5 points.

CINCINNATI BENGALS VS DALLAS COWBOYS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cincinnati Bengals -5.5

This game will be played at AT&T Stadium at 8:15 ET on Monday, December 9th.

WHY BET THE CINCINNATI BENGALS:

• We have the Bengals winning this one by a score of 29 to 18
• Not only do we have the Bengals winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -5.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 50.5 points

Will The Bengals Win As Road Favorites?

The Bengals head into week 14 looking to snap a three-game losing streak, which includes a 44-38 home loss to the Steelers in week 13. Cincinnati was favored by 3 points but couldn’t get the win, dropping their record to 4-8. This puts them 3rd in the AFC North and 10th in the conference. Our power rankings have the Bengals 15th, and they have a 2.3% chance of making the playoffs.

Cincinnati is 6-6 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of -0.4 points per game. Their O/U record is 9-3, with the over hitting in five straight games. Bengals games have averaged 56.2 points, compared to an average line of 46.3.

Joe Burrow has been on a roll, with three straight 300-yard games, including a 309-yard performance in week 13 against the Steelers, where he threw 3 touchdowns and had a passer rating of 112. Before that, he threw for 356 yards in week 11 and 428 yards in week 10. Ja’Marr Chase led the Bengals in week 13 with 86 receiving yards on 6 catches, while Chase Brown had 70 rushing yards on 12 carries.

Heading into week 14, the Bengals rank 6th in our offensive power rankings. They are 5th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 27.9 points per game, and lead the league in passing yards per game with 264.3. Cincinnati ranks 5th in 3rd-down conversions with a 45.5% success rate, but they are 23rd in red zone conversion percentage.

In their 44-38 loss to the Steelers, the Bengals’ defense struggled to contain the passing game, giving up 410 yards through the air on 29 completions. Pittsburgh’s passing attack averaged 10.8 yards per attempt and scored three touchdowns. Despite forcing one interception, the Bengals allowed the Steelers to complete 76.3% of their passes.

On the defensive front, Cincinnati managed just two sacks and allowed Pittsburgh to convert on 44.4% of their third down attempts. The Bengals’ defense also gave up 110 rushing yards on 26 attempts.

Are The Cowboys Going Win In At Upset At AT&T Stadium

Dallas snapped a four-game losing streak with back-to-back wins, including a 27-20 victory over the Giants in week 13. The Cowboys were 4-point favorites and covered the spread, bringing their ATS record to 4-8. They rank 30th in our power rankings and have a -7.6 scoring margin this season.

Heading into week 14, the Cowboys have a 1.1% chance of making the playoffs. They are 3-1 in division games but just 1-5 at home. Their O/U record is 8-4, with the over hitting in three straight games.

Heading into week 14, the Cowboys rank 28th in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in passing attempts per game (39.9) and are 7th in passing yards, averaging 236.8 per game. Cooper Rush threw for 195 yards and a touchdown in week 13, going 21/36 without an interception. CeeDee Lamb, who is questionable with a shoulder injury, had 67 yards in week 12 and 93 yards in week 11. KaVontae Turpin led the team in week 13 with 53 receiving yards.

On the ground, Dallas ranks 31st in rushing yards per game, with 85.8, on 22.9 attempts per game. Rico Dowdle rushed for 112 yards on 22 carries in week 13. The Cowboys are 24th in 3rd-down conversions, with a 35.4% success rate, but they are 2nd in red zone conversion percentage.

In their most recent game, the Cowboys’ defense allowed just 131 passing yards to the Giants. They also recorded six sacks and held New York to a 25% third-down conversion rate. Dallas’ secondary defended the pass well, giving up only 4.1 yards per attempt and not allowing any passing touchdowns. The Cowboys did struggle against the run, giving up 116 yards on just 21 attempts.

Despite the Giants finding some success on the ground, the Cowboys were able to limit their overall offensive production, as New York finished with only 247 total yards. Dallas also came away with one interception and won the battles in both quarterback hits and tackles for loss.

The Chargers and Chiefs will face off on Sunday, December 8th at 8:20 ET, with NBC handling the television coverage. The Chiefs are the favorite with a point spread of -4 and money line odds of -204. This week 14 AFC West matchup is being played at Arrowhead Stadium, and the over/under line is set at 43 points.

LOS ANGELES CHARGERS VS KANSAS CITY CHIEFS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Kansas City Chiefs -4

This game will be played at Arrowhead Stadium at 8:20 ET on Sunday, December 8th.

WHY BET THE KANSAS CITY CHIEFS:

• We have the Chiefs winning this one by a score of 29 to 21
• Not only do we have the Chiefs winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -4
• Look for this game to go over the line of 43 points

Will The Chargers Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

With a 94.6% chance of making the playoffs, the Chargers are in good shape heading into week 14. They rank 14th in our power rankings and have an 8-4 record, which includes a 2-1 mark in the AFC West. This puts them 2nd in the division and 5th in the conference. Against the spread, the Chargers are 8-3-1, including an 8-1 record as favorites.

After losing to the Ravens in week 12, the Chargers bounced back with a 17-13 win over the Falcons in week 13. They were 0.5-point favorites in that game and covered the spread. The combined scoring of 30 points fell short of the 47-point line.

Heading into week 14, the Chargers are 14th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 17th in the NFL with 21.7 points per game and are 24th in passing yards, averaging 198.4 per game. On the ground, they average 112.9 rushing yards per game, which ranks 18th in the league, on 27.3 attempts per game. They are 18th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 37.7% success rate, but have been strong in the red zone, ranking 5th in the league with a 53.3% conversion rate.

Justin Herbert threw for 147 yards on 16/23 passing in week 13, after throwing for 218 yards in week 12 and 297 yards in week 11. He has gone three games without an interception but was sacked five times in week 13. Ladd McConkey led the team with 9 catches for 117 yards in week 13, and Gus Edwards had 32 rushing yards on 6 carries.

The Chargers’ defense came up with four interceptions in their 17-13 win over the Falcons, despite allowing 350 yards of total offense. They held Atlanta to just a 21.4% conversion rate on third down and kept them out of the endzone through the air, although the Falcons did run for 116 yards.

Even though the Chargers’ defense gave up 234 passing yards, they didn’t allow a passing touchdown. Their secondary also limited Atlanta to a 61.5% completion rate and came up with a big day in terms of turnovers.

Are The Chiefs Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

With an 11-1 record, the Chiefs sit atop the AFC standings and have a 96.3% chance of winning the AFC West. They rank 6th in our NFL power rankings. After a week 11 loss to the Bills, Kansas City has bounced back with two straight wins, including a 19-17 victory over the Raiders in week 13. The Chiefs were 13.5-point favorites in this game but couldn’t cover the spread.

Kansas City is 4-7-1 against the spread this season and has failed to cover in six straight games. Their average scoring margin is +4.5 points per game. The Chiefs’ O/U record is 6-6, with their games averaging 43.7 points per contest.

Heading into week 14, the Chiefs are 10th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 24.1 points per game, and they rank 15th in total offense with 341.6 yards per game. Kansas City has relied heavily on the passing game, with 35.6 attempts per game (6th), resulting in 229.8 passing yards per game (12th). On the ground, they are 19th in the league with 111.8 rushing yards per game on 27.6 attempts per contest. Despite ranking 21st in first-quarter scoring, the Chiefs lead the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 51.8% success rate.

In week 13, Patrick Mahomes threw for 306 yards against the Raiders, completing 26 of 46 passes with one touchdown. DeAndre Hopkins led the team with 90 receiving yards on 4 catches, while Isiah Pacheco had 44 rushing yards on 7 carries. Kansas City scored on just 1 of 5 red zone trips and converted 7 of 16 3rd-down attempts.

In their 19-17 win over the Raiders, the Chiefs’ defense gave up 434 yards, including 318 yards through the air on 23 completions. The Raiders averaged 9.1 yards per attempt in the passing game and converted 25% of their third down attempts. Kansas City defended the run better, allowing 116 yards on 25 attempts (4.6 yards per attempt) and recorded three sacks.

The Chiefs also won the tackles for loss battle, coming out with one more tackle for loss than the Raiders. Despite giving up two passing touchdowns, Kansas City’s defense did enough to help secure the narrow victory.

The Bears and 49ers will face off on Sunday, December 8th at 4:25 ET on FOX. The 49ers are favored with a money line of -200, and the Bears’ money line is +168. The 49ers are -4 point favorites, and the over/under line is set at 44 points. The 49ers have a record of 8-4, and the Bears need to add their record.

CHICAGO BEARS VS SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Chicago Bears +4

This game will be played at Levi’s Stadium at 4:25 ET on Sunday, December 8th.

WHY BET THE CHICAGO BEARS:

• We have the Bears winning this one by a score of 25 to 16
• Not only do we have the Bears winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +4
• We see this game finishing below the line of 44 points

Will The Bears Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

The Bears have dropped six straight games, including a 23-20 loss to the Lions in week 13. This leaves them at 4-8, putting them 4th in the NFC North. Chicago is winless on the road this season (0-5) but has a 4-3 record at home.

Our projections give the Bears a 0.0% chance of making the playoffs and winning the division. They rank 22nd in our NFL power rankings. Despite their losing streak, Chicago is 7-4-1 against the spread, with a +0.1 scoring margin.

Heading into week 14, the Bears rank 23rd in our offensive power rankings, averaging 20.1 points per game, which is 22nd in the NFL. They are 26th in total offense, with 299.1 yards per game, and 27th in passing yards, despite being 8th in pass attempts. On the ground, Chicago ranks 23rd in rushing yards per game. They have struggled on 3rd down, converting just 33.5% of their attempts, but they are 6th in red zone conversion percentage.

Caleb Williams has thrown for over 200 yards in each of his last three games, including a 256-yard, 3-touchdown performance against the Lions in week 13. He finished with a passer rating of 97, though he was sacked 5 times. DJ Moore led the team with 8 catches for 97 yards and a touchdown.

In their 23-20 loss to the Lions, the Bears’ defense allowed 405 total yards and 194 rushing yards on 33 attempts (5.9 per attempt). They gave up two touchdowns through the air, while Detroit finished with a 61.8% completion percentage and converted 35.7% of their third down chances. Chicago did limit the Lions to 211 passing yards.

Chicago’s defense managed two sacks in the game but lost the tackles for loss battle by a margin of -5. The Bears’ offense put them in a tough spot, as they held the ball for just 24:38 compared to Detroit’s 35:22 time of possession advantage.

Are The 49ers Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

Heading into week 14, the 49ers are looking to end a three-game losing streak, which includes a 35-10 loss to the Bills in week 13. This dropped their record to 5-7, putting them 4th in the NFC West. According to our power rankings, the 49ers are 8th in the league, but they have just a 8.2% chance of making the playoffs.

Against the spread, San Francisco is 4-8 and has failed to cover in four straight games. Their average scoring margin this season is -2.1 points per game. The 49ers’ O/U record is 6-6, with their games averaging 47.1 points.

Heading into week 14, the 49ers sit 12th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 22.5 points per game, which ranks 15th in the NFL. They are 7th in the league in passing yards per game (232.8) and 9th in passing attempts (29.4 per game). On the ground, San Francisco ranks 7th in rushing yards per game (139.6) and 9th in rushing attempts. They also rank 7th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 43.2% success rate, and are 18th in red zone conversion percentage.

In week 13, the 49ers struggled offensively, scoring just 10 points in a loss to the Bills. Brock Purdy threw for 94 yards on 11/18 passing, while Jordan Mason led the team with 78 rushing yards on 13 carries. Jauan Jennings was the leading receiver, with 3 catches for 56 yards.

In their 35-10 loss to the Bills, the 49ers’ defense struggled to stop the run, giving up 220 yards on 38 attempts. Despite their issues against the run, they did limit Buffalo to 152 passing yards on just 14 completions. The 49ers allowed two passing touchdowns and a high completion percentage of 77.8%. On third downs, the Bills converted 50% of their chances.

San Francisco’s defense was unable to generate much pressure, as they didn’t record any sacks and had a negative differential in both tackles for loss and quarterback hits. The 49ers will be looking for a much better performance in their next game after allowing 372 total yards to the Bills.

FOX will televise the week 14 non-conference matchup between the Bills and Rams, taking place at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA. The game is set for 4:25 ET on Sunday, December 8th. The Bills are the road team and are favored on the road with a -4.5 point spread. Buffalo’s money line odds are -213, while the Rams are at +177. The over/under line is set at 49 points.

BUFFALO BILLS VS LOS ANGELES RAMS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Buffalo Bills -4.5

This game will be played at SoFi Stadium at 4:25 ET on Sunday, December 8th.

WHY BET THE BUFFALO BILLS:

• We have the Bills winning this one by a score of 30 to 24
• Not only do we have the Bills winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -4.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 49 points

Will The Bills Win As Road Favorites?

With a 10-2 record, the Bills sit atop the AFC East and have a 100% chance of making the playoffs and winning the division, according to our projections. Buffalo is on a seven-game winning streak, which includes a 35-10 win over the 49ers in week 13. The Bills were favored by 6.5 points and covered the spread, giving them a 3-game ATS winning streak.

Buffalo is 8-4 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +10.9 points per game. Their O/U record is 7-5, with their games averaging 48.2 points compared to an average line of 46.

Buffalo’s offense has been on a roll, scoring 35 points in their week 13 win over the 49ers. Josh Allen posted a passer rating of 141, going 13/17 for 148 yards and 2 touchdowns. James Cook led the ground game with 107 yards on 14 carries, while Dawson Knox had 56 receiving yards. The Bills were perfect in the red zone, converting all 4 attempts, and went 6/12 on third down.

Heading into week 14, Buffalo ranks 2nd in the NFL in points per game (29.6) and 10th in yards per game (347.5). They are 17th in passing yards per game, despite ranking 21st in attempts. On the ground, they average 127.6 rushing yards per game, ranking 11th in the league.

Buffalo’s defense was dominant in their 35-10 win over the 49ers, holding them to just 86 yards passing on 11 completions. The Bills’ secondary didn’t allow a passing touchdown and limited San Francisco to a 61.1% completion percentage. Although the 49ers rushed for 153 yards, Buffalo defended the run well, allowing just 27 attempts and two sacks.

The Bills’ defense also excelled on third down, allowing the 49ers to convert only 30% of their third-down attempts. Buffalo’s defensive line won the tackles for loss battle and held the 49ers to just 10 points in the game.

Are The Rams Going Win In At Upset At SoFi Stadium

With a 6-6 record, the Rams have a 22.9% chance of making the playoffs and a 21.3% chance of winning the NFC West. They rank 16th in our NFL power rankings. Against the spread, Los Angeles is 5-7, with a -3 average scoring margin. Their O/U record is 6-6, with their games averaging 45.3 points compared to a 47-point line.

In week 13, the Rams bounced back from a week 12 loss to the Eagles by beating the Saints 21-14. They covered the 2.5-point spread as favorites. In week 12, they couldn’t cover as 3-point underdogs, losing 37-20 to Philadelphia. In week 11, they beat the Patriots 28-22, covering the 4-point spread.

Heading into week 14, the Rams are 15th in our offensive power rankings. They’re averaging 21.2 points per game, which ranks 19th in the NFL, and 331 yards per game, putting them 18th. Matthew Stafford has been solid, with a passer rating of 110 in week 13, throwing for 183 yards and 2 touchdowns without an interception. Kyren Williams rushed for 104 yards on 15 carries, and Puka Nacua had 5 catches for 56 yards and a touchdown.

On the ground, the Rams are 26th in rushing yards per game, with 100.2, on 24.7 attempts per game. They’ve struggled on 3rd down, ranking 29th with a conversion rate of 32.6%. In week 13, they scored 14 points in the 4th quarter and converted 4 of 9 3rd downs, while going 3/3 in the red zone.

In their 21-14 win over the Saints, the Rams’ defense gave up 143 rushing yards on 31 attempts, with New Orleans finishing with 327 total yards. The Rams’ defense was tough against the pass, allowing just 184 yards and holding the Saints to 5 yards per attempt. They also limited the Saints to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down.

Despite their strong pass defense, the Rams didn’t record any sacks in the game. New Orleans did find the endzone once through the air, as opposing quarterbacks completed 64.9% of their passes against the Rams.

The over/under line is set at 45 points as the Cardinals, favored at -150 on the money line, host the Seahawks at 4:05 ET on Sunday, December 8th at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, AZ. The Seahawks are +127 on the money line and +2.5 on the point spread. This week 14 NFC West matchup is being televised on CBS.

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS VS ARIZONA CARDINALS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Arizona Cardinals -2.5

This game will be played at State Farm Stadium at 4:05 ET on Sunday, December 8th.

WHY BET THE ARIZONA CARDINALS:

• We have the Cardinals winning this one by a score of 26 to 20
• Not only do we have the Cardinals winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -2.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 45 points

Will The Seahawks Pick Up A Win On The Road?

The Seahawks head into week 14 with a three-game winning streak, including a 26-21 road win over the Jets in week 13. Seattle was a 1.5-point underdog in that game, but they managed to cover the spread. Before that, they picked up wins over the Cardinals (16-6) and 49ers (20-17) in weeks 12 and 11, respectively.

Seattle is 7-5 on the season, which puts them first in the NFC West. Despite that, our power rankings have them 21st in the NFL, and they have a 40.5% chance of making the playoffs. Their average scoring margin this season is +0.6, and they are 5-6-1 against the spread.

Heading into week 14, the Seahawks rank 19th in our offensive power rankings. They are 14th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 22.7, and 16th in yards per game with 339. Seattle has been pass-heavy, ranking 5th in passing attempts per game, and 2nd in passing yards, with 250.3 per game. On the ground, they rank 26th in rushing attempts and 28th in rushing yards per game, averaging 88.7.

Geno Smith threw for 206 yards and a touchdown in week 13, going 20/31 without an interception. Kenneth Walker III had 49 rushing yards on 16 carries, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba led the team with 74 receiving yards. Seattle scored 10 points in the 4th quarter against the Jets, after being shut out in the 1st and 3rd quarters.

In their 26-21 win over the Jets, the Seahawks’ defense allowed just 169 yards through the air on 21 completions. However, they did give up two passing touchdowns. The Jets were unable to get much going on the ground, with just 89 yards on 21 attempts. Seattle’s defense held the Jets to 38.5% on third down and forced one interception.

Seattle’s defense also came away with two sacks in the game. The Jets finished with 258 total yards, and the Seahawks’ defense limited them to a 53.8% completion percentage. Despite the two passing touchdowns, Seattle’s defense was tough to move the ball against.

Will The Cardinals Win At Home Over The Seahawks?

Heading into week 14, the Cardinals are looking to snap a two-game losing streak, which includes a 23-22 loss to the Vikings in week 13. Despite the loss, Arizona covered the spread as 3.5-point underdogs, bringing their ATS record to 8-4 this season. They’ve gone 6-2 as underdogs and 1-2 as favorites. Their average scoring margin is +0.6 points per game.

Arizona currently sits 13th in our NFL power rankings and has a 36.0% chance of making the playoffs. They are 6-6 overall and 2-1 in division games, placing them 2nd in the NFC West. Their O/U record is 4-7-1, with the under hitting in four straight games.

Heading into week 14, the Cardinals rank 16th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 22.2. They are 11th in total yards per game (347.3) and 10th in 3rd-down conversion percentage (41.1%). Arizona leans on the run game, ranking 6th in rushing yards per game (141.4) on 27.5 attempts per contest. They are 22nd in passing yards per game, with 205.9, on 29.8 attempts per game.

Kyler Murray threw for 260 yards (31/45) in week 13, with 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions. Tight end Trey McBride had 12 catches for 96 yards, and James Conner led the team in rushing with 68 yards on 17 carries. Arizona struggled in the red zone, converting just 1 of 6 attempts, but scored 10 points in the 3rd quarter.

In their 23-22 loss to the Vikings, the Cardinals’ defense allowed just 68 rushing yards on 15 attempts. Despite this, they gave up two passing touchdowns and allowed Minnesota to finish with 205 yards through the air. Arizona’s defense recorded five sacks and limited the Vikings to a 12.5% conversion rate on third down. Overall, the Cardinals allowed 273 total yards in the game.

Arizona’s defense put pressure on the quarterback, with a +5 advantage in QB hits and one more tackle for loss than the Vikings. However, they still gave up just enough to allow Minnesota to come out on top by a single point.

The Raiders and Buccaneers will face off on Sunday, December 8th at 1:00 ET on CBS. The Buccaneers are the heavy favorite with a money line of -332, and they are favored by -7 points on the road. This week 14 non-conference matchup is being played at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL. The over/under line is set at 45 points.

LAS VEGAS RAIDERS VS TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Las Vegas Raiders +7

This game will be played at Raymond James Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 8th.

WHY BET THE LAS VEGAS RAIDERS:

• We have the Raiders winning this one by a score of 24 to 20
• Not only do we have the Raiders winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +7
• We see this game finishing below the line of 45 points

Will The Raiders Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Heading into week 14, the Raiders are on an eight-game losing streak, dropping their record to 2-10 and placing them 27th in our power rankings. Las Vegas has a -9.2 average scoring margin this season and is 5-7 against the spread. They are 0-1 ATS as favorites and 5-6 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 8-4, with their games averaging 46.3 points compared to a 40.9-point line.

In week 13, the Raiders fell 19-17 to the Chiefs, bringing their record to 2-10. They were +13.5 underdogs and managed to cover the spread. The O/U line was 42.5, and the teams combined for 36 points.

Heading into week 14, the Raiders sit at the bottom of our offensive power rankings. They are 26th in the NFL in points per game (18.6) and 25th in yards per game (304.4). Despite ranking 3rd in passing attempts, they are 14th in passing yards, averaging 226.3 per game. On the ground, they rank 32nd in rushing yards per game, with just 78.1, and 29th in rushing attempts.

In week 13, Aidan O’Connell threw for 340 yards and 2 touchdowns, completing 23 of 35 passes without an interception. Brock Bowers led the team with 10 catches for 140 yards, and Sincere McCormick had 64 rushing yards on 12 carries. The Raiders struggled on 3rd down, converting only 3 of 12 attempts, and failed to score on their lone red zone opportunity.

In their 19-17 loss to the Chiefs, the Raiders’ defense allowed just 63 rushing yards on 16 attempts, but gave up 266 passing yards. They pressured the quarterback effectively, with five sacks and a +8 advantage in quarterback hits. Despite this, the Chiefs were able to convert 43.8% of their third down attempts.

The Raiders’ defense held the Chiefs to 5.8 yards per attempt and a 56.5% completion percentage. Las Vegas’ offense had a chance to win the game, but Daniel Carlson missed a 57-yard field goal as time expired. The Raiders’ offense had a total of 329 yards in the game.

Are The Buccaneers Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

With two straight wins, the Buccaneers are back at .500, sitting at 6-6 after a week 13 victory over the Panthers. Tampa Bay couldn’t cover the 6.5-point spread, but they got the win, which keeps them in the playoff hunt. They currently have a 56.4% chance of making the postseason and a 50.3% chance of winning the NFC South. The Bucs are 10th in our NFL power rankings heading into week 14.

Against the spread, the Buccaneers are 7-5, with a +3.2 scoring margin. Their O/U record is 8-4, with their games averaging 52.6 points per game. The average line in their games has been 45.2 points.

Heading into week 14, the Buccaneers rank 5th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 27.9, and they are 6th in passing yards per game with 238.8, despite being 11th in pass attempts. On the ground, they rank 15th in rushing attempts and 8th in rushing yards per game, averaging 137.2. Tampa Bay has been strong on 3rd down, converting 47.6% of their attempts, which ranks 2nd in the league. They also rank 2nd in 1st-quarter scoring.

In week 13, Baker Mayfield threw for 235 yards, with 2 interceptions and 1 touchdown. He was sacked 4 times. Bucky Irving rushed for 152 yards on 25 carries, while Mike Evans had 8 receptions for 118 yards. Tampa Bay scored 13 points in the 4th quarter against the Panthers, after being shut out in the 3rd quarter.

In their 26-23 overtime win over the Panthers, the Buccaneers’ defense allowed 289 passing yards on 26 completions. Carolina finished with 367 total yards, but Tampa Bay limited them to 78 rushing yards on 21 attempts. The Bucs’ defense also held the Panthers to a 37.5% conversion rate on third down and allowed just one passing touchdown.

Tampa Bay’s defense recorded one sack in the game and had a +5 advantage in quarterback hits, despite losing the tackles for loss battle by -6. The Panthers completed only 56.5% of their passes against the Buccaneers.

The Browns and Steelers will kick off at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 8th at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh. The Steelers are favored at -280 on the money line as they look to improve their record. Cleveland, the underdog at +222, is looking to add a win to their record. The Browns are +6 point underdogs on the road, and the over/under line is set at 43 points. CBS will broadcast this week 14 AFC North matchup.

CLEVELAND BROWNS VS PITTSBURGH STEELERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cleveland Browns +6

This game will be played at Acrisure Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 8th.

WHY BET THE CLEVELAND BROWNS:

• We have the Steelers winning this one by a score of 23 to 18
• Even though we like the Steelers to win, our ATS pick is to take the Browns at +6
• We see this game finishing below the line of 43 points

Will The Browns Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Heading into week 14, the Browns are 3-9 and rank 19th in our NFL power rankings. They have a -7.5 scoring margin and are 4-8 against the spread. Cleveland is 0-4 ATS as favorites and 4-4 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 6-6, with the over hitting in three straight games.

After snapping a four-game losing streak with a week 12 win over the Steelers, the Browns couldn’t keep the momentum going, losing 41-32 to the Broncos in week 13. They were unable to cover the 6.5-point spread, and the 73 combined points easily went over the 41.5-point line.

Heading into week 14, the Browns rank 31st in our offensive power rankings. They are 28th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 18.2, and 22nd in yards per game, with 314.1. Cleveland ranks 2nd in the league in passing attempts per game, with 39.2, and 13th in passing yards, averaging 226.8 per game. On the ground, they are 25th in rushing attempts and 30th in rushing yards per game, with 87.2. The Browns have struggled on 3rd down, converting just 29.2% of their attempts, which ranks 31st in the NFL. However, they lead the league in red zone conversion percentage.

In week 13, Jameis Winston threw for 497 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 3 interceptions, on 34/58 passing. Jerry Jeudy had 9 catches for 235 yards and a touchdown, while Jerome Ford led the team in rushing with 41 yards on 9 carries. Cleveland scored in every quarter, putting up 7 points in the 1st, 10 in the 2nd, 8 in the 3rd, and 7 in the 4th. They converted 9 of 19 3rd downs and scored on 3 of 4 red zone trips.

In their 41-32 loss to the Broncos, the Browns’ defense gave up 294 passing yards on just 18 completions. They also allowed a big day on the ground, giving up 106 rushing yards on 26 attempts. Despite not allowing any sacks, the Browns did manage to force two interceptions in the game.

Opposing quarterbacks completed just 51.4% of their passes against the Browns, but they struggled to get off the field, allowing the Broncos to convert on 46.2% of their third down attempts. Cleveland’s defense also gave up 8.4 yards per attempt in the passing game.

Are The Steelers Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

With a 9-3 record, the Steelers sit atop the AFC North and are 3rd in the AFC. Our projections give them a 99.1% chance of making the playoffs and a 71.2% chance of winning their division. Pittsburgh ranks 9th in our NFL power rankings heading into week 14.

After losing to the Browns in week 12, the Steelers bounced back with a 44-38 win over the Bengals in week 13. They were 3-point underdogs in that game, bringing their ATS record to 9-3. They are 5-0 against the spread as underdogs this season. Their O/U record is 7-5, with the over hitting in their last two games.

Russell Wilson has been on fire for the Steelers, throwing for 414 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 13, following his 270-yard performance in week 12. In week 11, he had 205 yards. Against the Bengals, Wilson posted a passer rating of 126, completing 29 of 38 passes. George Pickens led the receiving corps with 74 yards on 3 catches, while Najee Harris rushed for 75 yards on 16 carries.

Heading into week 14, the Steelers rank 16th in our offensive power rankings. They are 9th in points per game (24.7) and 14th in yards per game, averaging 344. Pittsburgh leans heavily on the run, with 33.6 rushing attempts per game, ranking 2nd in the NFL. They are 20th in passing yards per game, with 210.9, and 13th in 3rd-down conversions, converting 39.2% of their attempts.

In their 44-38 win over the Bengals, the Steelers’ defense gave up 282 yards through the air, with Cincinnati completing 73.7% of their passes. Despite this, the Steelers still came out on top. The Bengals had success running the ball, gaining 93 yards on just 15 attempts. Pittsburgh’s defense also allowed three passing touchdowns and let the Bengals convert on 50% of their third down attempts.

Pittsburgh’s defense did manage to come up with four sacks and one interception. Even though they allowed 375 total yards, the Steelers’ defense made key plays to help secure the win.

With the Eagles favored at -708 on the money line, the Panthers and Eagles will face off on Sunday, December 8th at 1:00 ET on FOX. The Eagles are heavily favored at -12.5 on the point spread. The over/under line is set at 45.5 points. The Panthers are +505 on the money line, and the Eagles need to add their record. This week 14 matchup is being played at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia.

CAROLINA PANTHERS VS PHILADELPHIA EAGLES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Carolina Panthers +12.5

This game will be played at Lincoln Financial Field at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 8th.

WHY BET THE CAROLINA PANTHERS:

• We have the Eagles winning this one by a score of 25 to 17
• Even though we like the Eagles to win, our ATS pick is to take the Panthers at +12.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 45.5 points

Will The Panthers Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Heading into week 14, the Panthers sit at 3-9, putting them 4th in the NFC South. They’ve lost two straight, including a narrow 26-23 defeat to the Bucs in week 13. Carolina was a 6.5-point underdog in that game but managed to cover the spread. Before that, they also covered in a 3-point loss to the Chiefs in week 12 and had back-to-back wins over the Giants and Saints in weeks 10 and 9, respectively.

Despite covering the spread in four straight games, the Panthers rank 32nd in our power rankings and have a -12.4 scoring margin. They’ve been underdogs in all of their games so far, with an ATS record of 5-7. Their O/U record is 9-3, with the over hitting in their last two games.

Heading into week 14, the Panthers rank 26th in our offensive power rankings. They are 29th in the NFL in both points per game (18.1) and passing yards per game (187.1), despite being 15th in pass attempts. Carolina is also 26th in 3rd-down conversions, with a rate of 34.2%, but they are 10th in red zone conversion percentage.

Bryce Young threw for 298 yards (26/46) and a touchdown in week 13, without an interception. Chuba Hubbard had 43 rushing yards on 12 carries, while Adam Thielen led the team with 8 catches for 99 yards and a touchdown.

In their 26-23 overtime loss to the Buccaneers, the Panthers’ defense gave up 236 rushing yards on 39 attempts, including a 98-yard touchdown run to Ronald Jones II. Despite this, they still managed to force two interceptions and held Tampa Bay to a 3.8 yards per carry average. Overall, the Panthers allowed 445 total yards and 209 passing yards on 22 completions. Their run defense struggled, but they were able to generate pressure with four sacks and had a good day in the run game, winning the tackles for loss battle.

The Panthers’ defense also limited the Buccaneers to a 16.7% third-down conversion rate. However, the 98-yard touchdown run by Jones significantly impacted their overall performance against the run.

Are The Eagles Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

With their 24-19 win over the Ravens in week 13, the Eagles extended their winning streak to eight games, improving to 10-2 on the season. This run includes a 37-20 victory over the Rams in week 12 and a 26-18 win over the Commanders in week 11. Philadelphia currently sits 5th in our NFL power rankings and has a 97.3% chance of winning the NFC East, according to our projections.

Against the spread, the Eagles are 8-4 this season, with an average scoring margin of +8.5 points per game. They have covered in four straight games, including a win over Baltimore as 3-point underdogs. Their O/U record stands at 5-7, with their games averaging 44.8 points compared to an average line of 46.4.

Heading into week 14, the Eagles rank 5th in our offensive power rankings. They’re 6th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 26.7 points per game, and 4th in yards per game with 377.7. Philadelphia leans heavily on the run game, leading the league in rushing attempts (36.8) and rushing yards per game (188.9), while ranking 31st in passing attempts and 28th in passing yards. On 3rd down, they’re converting 42.3% of the time, which ranks 9th in the NFL, but they’ve struggled in the red zone, ranking 24th with a 13% conversion rate.

In week 13, the Eagles scored 24 points in their win over the Ravens, with 10 of those coming in the 4th quarter. Jalen Hurts threw for 118 yards and a touchdown, completing 11 of 19 passes. Saquon Barkley rushed for 107 yards on 23 carries, while A.J. Brown had 5 catches for 66 yards. Philadelphia converted 4 of 12 3rd downs and 2 of 3 red zone attempts.

Philadelphia’s defense gave up 166 rushing yards on 32 attempts in their 24-19 win over the Ravens. Despite struggling against the run, they held Baltimore to 206 passing yards and 5.7 yards per attempt. The Eagles’ defense recorded three sacks and won the quarterback hit differential.

The Ravens finished with 372 total yards, but the Eagles limited their third-down conversions to 40%. Philadelphia also forced two passing touchdowns while allowing a 63.9% completion rate to Baltimore.

With the over/under line set at 40 points, the Giants are +189 on the money line as they prepare to host the Saints at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ. The Saints are favored by -5 on the road, and this week 14 NFC matchup is set for 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 8th. Television coverage is being handled by FOX.

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS VS NEW YORK GIANTS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Giants +5

This game will be played at MetLife Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 8th.

WHY BET THE NEW YORK GIANTS:

• We have the Giants winning this one by a score of 21 to 16
• Not only do we have the Giants winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 40 points

Will The Saints Win As Road Favorites?

New Orleans couldn’t capitalize on home-field advantage in week 13, falling 21-14 to the Rams and dropping to 4-8 on the season. The Saints were coming off back-to-back wins over the Falcons and Browns but couldn’t make it three in a row, leaving them with just a 0.6% chance of making the playoffs, according to our projections. They currently rank 23rd in our power rankings.

New Orleans has a -0.4 scoring margin this season and is 5-7 against the spread. Their O/U record is 7-5, with their games averaging 46.4 points compared to an average line of 43.9.

Our offensive power rankings have the Saints sitting at 17th in the NFL, and they are 13th in points per game, averaging 23. They rank 19th in passing yards per game (213.9) on 31.7 attempts per game, while their rushing attack ranks 10th in the league, with 131.8 yards per game on 28.6 attempts. New Orleans is 15th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion rate, converting 38.5% of their attempts.

Derek Carr threw for 184 yards and a touchdown in week 13, going 24/37 without an interception. Alvin Kamara rushed for 112 yards on 23 carries, and Taysom Hill led the team in receiving with 5 catches for 37 yards. Marquez Valdes-Scantling had been the top receiver in the previous two games, with 87 yards in week 11 and 109 yards in week 10.

In their 21-14 loss to the Rams, the Saints’ defense gave up 156 rushing yards on 29 attempts, including two rushing touchdowns. Despite this, they held the Rams to just 166 passing yards on 14 completions. The Saints’ defense recorded two sacks and held the Rams to a 44.4% third-down conversion rate.

New Orleans allowed the Rams to gain 322 total yards, with two of the Rams’ three touchdowns coming on the ground. The Saints also won the QB hit battle, finishing with three more hits on the quarterback than the Rams.

Are The Giants Going Win In At Upset At MetLife Stadium

Heading into week 14, the Giants are on a seven-game losing streak, dropping their record to 2-10. After a week 5 win over the Seahawks, New York has suffered consecutive losses to the Bengals, Eagles, Steelers, Commanders, Panthers, Buccaneers, and Cowboys. This includes a 30-7 home loss to Tampa Bay in week 12 and a 27-20 road loss to Dallas in week 13. The Giants were +4 underdogs against the Cowboys but couldn’t cover the spread.

With no chance of making the playoffs, the Giants rank 31st in our NFL power rankings. They are 3-9 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of -8 points per game. Their O/U record is 4-8, with their games averaging 38.5 points compared to an average line of 41.5.

Heading into week 14, the Giants rank 31st in the NFL in points per game, averaging 15.2, and they are 26th in yards per game with 299.1. Despite being 7th in passing attempts, they are 31st in passing yards per game, averaging 183.2. On the ground, they rank 15th in rushing yards per game, with 115.9, on 26.1 attempts per game. New York ranks 21st in 3rd-down conversions, with a 37% success rate, but they are 4th in red zone conversion percentage.

In week 13, Drew Lock threw for 178 yards on 21/32 passing, with 1 interception. He was sacked 6 times in the loss to Dallas. Malik Nabers led the team with 8 catches for 69 yards, and Lock added 57 rushing yards on 4 carries. The Giants scored 10 points in the 4th quarter, converting both of their red zone opportunities.

In their 27-20 loss to the Cowboys, the Giants’ defense allowed 195 passing yards on 21 completions. Despite this, they struggled to generate pressure, as they didn’t record any sacks and lost the QB hit differential by 11. The Giants also gave up one passing touchdown and allowed Dallas to convert 46.7% of their third down attempts.

On the ground, the Giants gave up 122 rushing yards on 32 attempts, with Dallas averaging 3.8 yards per attempt. New York’s defense held the Cowboys to 317 total yards in the game.

On the money line, the Vikings are -228 as they prepare to host the Falcons at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. The Falcons and Vikings will kick off at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 8th, with the Vikings favored by -5 points. The over/under line is set at 46 points for this week 14 NFC matchup, which will be televised on FOX.

ATLANTA FALCONS VS MINNESOTA VIKINGS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Atlanta Falcons +5

This game will be played at U.S. Bank Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 8th.

WHY BET THE ATLANTA FALCONS:

• We have the Vikings winning this one by a score of 27 to 26
• Even though we like the Vikings to win, our ATS pick is to take the Falcons at +5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 46 points

Will The Falcons Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Atlanta heads into week 14 looking to snap a three-game losing streak, which includes a 17-13 home loss to the Chargers in week 13. This dropped the Falcons to 6-6, but they still hold the top spot in the NFC South thanks to a 4-1 division record. In our power rankings, Atlanta sits 18th, and they have a 49.2% chance of winning the division and a 52.5% chance of making the playoffs.

Against the spread, the Falcons are 5-7 and have failed to cover in three straight games. They were 0.5-point underdogs against the Chargers and couldn’t get the win. Their O/U record is 4-8, with the under hitting in four consecutive games.

Heading into week 14, the Falcons are 13th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 18th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 21.4, and are 8th in yards per game with 360.6. Atlanta is 4th in passing yards per game, with 242.8 on 33.8 attempts per game, and they sit 14th in rushing yards per game, averaging 117.8 on 27.2 attempts.

In week 13, Kirk Cousins threw for 245 yards but had 4 interceptions against the Chargers. Bijan Robinson rushed for 102 yards on 26 carries, and Ray-Ray McCloud III led the team with 95 receiving yards. The Falcons struggled on third down, converting just 3 of 14 attempts.

Despite their defensive effort, the Falcons lost 17-13 to the Chargers in their most recent game. Atlanta’s defense allowed just 131 passing yards and limited the Chargers to 187 total yards. The Falcons’ run defense held the Chargers to 56 yards on 17 attempts.

Atlanta’s defense also recorded five sacks in the game and held the Chargers to a 27.3% conversion rate on third down. However, the Falcons’ offense struggled to capitalize on their defensive performance, managing only 13 points in the game.

Are The Vikings Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

With their 23-22 win over the Cardinals in week 13, the Vikings extended their winning streak to five games, bringing their record to 10-2. Minnesota is 5-1 both at home and on the road this season, and they rank 7th in our NFL power rankings heading into week 14. They have a 99.8% chance of making the playoffs, but their chances of winning the NFC North are just 10.0%, as they sit 2-1 in division play.

The Vikings are 7-4-1 against the spread, with a +6.5 average scoring margin. They are 3-0 ATS as underdogs and 4-4-1 as favorites. Their O/U record is 4-8, with their games averaging 43 points compared to an average line of 44.4.

Sam Darnold has posted three straight games with a passer rating over 100, including a 111.0 rating in week 13, where he threw for 235 yards and 2 touchdowns on 21/31 passing. He was sacked 5 times in that game, though. Justin Jefferson led the team with 7 catches for 99 yards against the Cardinals, while Darnold also led the team in rushing with 22 yards on 4 carries.

Heading into week 14, the Vikings rank 11th in our offensive power rankings. They are 8th in the NFL in points per game (24.8) and 13th in yards per game (344.6). Minnesota has been strong in the 1st quarter, leading the league with 7.1 points per game.

In their 23-22 win over the Cardinals, the Vikings’ defense gave up 406 yards, including 154 yards on the ground from 31 attempts (5.0 yards per attempt). Arizona completed 68.9% of their passes for 252 yards, with Minnesota allowing 1 passing touchdown. However, the Vikings’ defense came up with two interceptions and held the Cardinals to a 38.5% conversion rate on third downs. Minnesota’s defense also had one sack in the game.