Category: NFL

ESPN will broadcast the Falcons vs. Raiders week 15 non-conference matchup, which kicks off at 8:30 ET on Monday, December 16th. The Falcons are favored on the road with a money line of -227, and their point spread is -4.5. The game is being played at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, with the Raiders at +185 on the money line and the over/under line is 44 points.

ATLANTA FALCONS VS LAS VEGAS RAIDERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Las Vegas Raiders +4.5

This game will be played at Allegiant Stadium at 8:30 ET on Monday, December 16th.

WHY BET THE LAS VEGAS RAIDERS:

• We have the Falcons winning this one by a score of 23 to 21
• Even though we like the Falcons to win, our ATS pick is to take the Raiders at +4.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 44 points

Will The Falcons Win As Road Favorites?

After a 4-game losing streak, the Falcons now sit at 6-7, putting them 2nd in the NFC South. Despite their recent struggles, they still have a 4-1 record in division games. Our projections give Atlanta a 30.6% chance of making the playoffs and a 26.0% chance of winning the division.

Against the spread, the Falcons are 5-8 this season and have failed to cover in 4 straight games. Their average scoring margin is -4.2 points per game. Their O/U record is 5-8, with their games averaging 47 points compared to an average line of 46.5.

Heading into week 15, the Falcons are 13th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 17th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 21.4, and are 8th in total yards per game with 371. Atlanta has leaned on their passing game, ranking 2nd in the league with 250.2 passing yards per game on 34 attempts per contest. On the ground, they average 120.8 rushing yards per game, ranking 12th in the NFL, on 27.6 attempts per game.

In week 14, Kirk Cousins threw for 344 yards, completing 23 of 37 passes, but he also had 2 interceptions and no touchdowns. Darnell Mooney led the receiving corps with 6 catches for 142 yards, while Bijan Robinson rushed for 92 yards and a touchdown on 22 carries. The Falcons scored 21 points against the Vikings, with 11 of those coming in the 3rd quarter.

In their 42-21 loss to the Vikings, the Falcons’ defense struggled to defend the pass, giving up five passing touchdowns and allowing a completion percentage of 78.6%. Minnesota finished with 318 passing yards and converted 66.7% of their third down attempts. Atlanta did manage to record four sacks and pressured the quarterback effectively, winning the QB hit differential and the tackles for loss differential.

Overall, the Falcons allowed 433 yards and 115 rushing yards on 24 attempts, with Minnesota averaging 4.8 yards per attempt on the ground. Atlanta’s secondary will be looking to bounce back after a tough outing in their most recent game.

Are The Raiders Going Win In At Upset At Allegiant Stadium

Heading into week 15, the Raiders are on a nine-game losing streak, dropping their record to 2-11. After a week 4 win over the Browns, Las Vegas has been unable to get back in the win column, including a 28-13 loss to the Buccaneers in week 14. The Raiders were 6.5-point underdogs in that game and couldn’t cover the spread, leaving their ATS record at 5-8 this season.

Our power rankings have the Raiders 25th going into week 15, and they have a -9.6 scoring margin this year. Their O/U record is 8-5, with the under hitting in two straight games. Las Vegas games have averaged 45.9 points this season, with an average O/U line of 41.4.

Heading into week 15, the Raiders rank 32nd in our offensive power rankings. They are 25th in the NFL in points per game (18.2) and yards per game (303). Despite ranking 4th in passing attempts, they are 16th in passing yards per game. On the ground, they are 29th in rushing attempts and last in rushing yards per game, averaging 79.1.

Las Vegas has struggled on 3rd down, converting just 34.3% of their attempts, which ranks 26th in the league. However, they have been efficient in the red zone, converting 54.3% of their opportunities, which ranks 4th. In week 14, they scored just 13 points against the Buccaneers, with Aidan O’Connell throwing for 104 yards and an interception.

In their 28-13 loss to the Buccaneers, the Raiders’ defense allowed 420 yards and 152 rushing yards on just 26 attempts. They gave up 268 yards through the air on 18 completions, with Tampa Bay averaging 9.2 yards per attempt and scoring three passing touchdowns.

Despite their struggles, the Raiders did manage to intercept two passes and recorded four sacks. The defense forced the Buccaneers into a 41.7% third-down conversion rate.

ABC will broadcast the week 15 NFC North matchup between the Vikings and Bears at 8:00 ET. The Vikings are the heavy favorite with a money line of -323, and the Bears are at +256. The Bears are 7-point underdogs on the road at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. The over/under line is set at 44 points.

CHICAGO BEARS VS MINNESOTA VIKINGS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Chicago Bears +7

This game will be played at U.S. Bank Stadium at 8:00 ET on Monday, December 16th.

WHY BET THE CHICAGO BEARS:

• We have the Bears winning this one by a score of 24 to 18
• Not only do we have the Bears winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +7
• We see this game finishing below the line of 44 points

Will The Bears Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Chicago’s losing streak now stands at seven games after their 38-13 loss to the 49ers in week 14, dropping their record to 4-9. The Bears are 0-6 on the road this season, but they have a 4-3 record at home. They rank 23rd in our NFL power rankings and have a -1.8 scoring margin. Despite their losing record, they are 7-5-1 against the spread, including a 3-1 mark as the favorite.

Chicago has been eliminated from playoff contention, and their division record is 0-3. In week 13, they narrowly lost to the Lions, 23-20, but managed to cover the 9.5-point spread. In week 12, they lost 30-27 to the Vikings, and in week 11, they fell 20-19 to the Packers.

Heading into week 15, the Bears’ offense ranks 23rd in our power rankings, averaging 19.5 points per game, which is 22nd in the NFL. They have struggled to move the ball, sitting last in the league with 288.5 yards per game, and are 29th in passing yards with 182.7 per game. Chicago ranks 27th in 3rd-down conversions, converting 33.9% of their attempts, but they’ve been efficient in the red zone, ranking 6th with a 51.7% conversion rate.

Caleb Williams posted a passer rating of 116 in week 14, throwing for 134 yards and 2 touchdowns on 17/23 passing. However, he was sacked 7 times. DJ Moore led the team with 6 catches for 49 yards, and D’Andre Swift had 38 rushing yards on 14 carries. The Bears scored 13 points in week 14, all coming in the second half.

In their 38-13 loss to the 49ers, the Bears’ defense struggled to get off the field, allowing San Francisco to convert on 50% of their third down attempts. Chicago gave up 321 passing yards on just 20 completions, with the 49ers averaging 12.3 yards per attempt through the air. The Bears’ only interception came from their secondary, and they managed just one sack while allowing the 49ers to gain 452 total yards.

Chicago’s run defense held up better, allowing 131 yards on 34 attempts (3.9 yards per attempt). The Bears also lost the TFL battle, finishing with three fewer tackles for loss than the 49ers.

Are The Vikings Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

With a 42-21 win over the Falcons in week 14, the Vikings extended their winning streak to six games and improved to 11-2. Minnesota is now 6-1 at home and 5-1 on the road, and they have a +7.6 scoring margin this season. Against the spread, the Vikings are 8-4-1, including a 3-0 record as underdogs.

Heading into week 15, Minnesota ranks 7th in our NFL power rankings and has a 100% chance of making the playoffs. However, they have just a 10.6% chance of winning the NFC North, as they currently sit 2nd in the division with a 2-1 record. In conference play, the Vikings are 6-2.

Heading into week 15, the Vikings rank 10th in our offensive power rankings. They are 9th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 26.1, and 11th in yards per game with 351.4. Minnesota is 23rd in passing attempts per game but ranks 8th in passing yards, averaging 238.2. On the ground, they are 17th in rushing yards per game, with 113.2, on 27.6 attempts per game. The Vikings have been strong in the 1st quarter, ranking 2nd in the league in scoring, but they are 21st in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 6th in red zone attempts.

Sam Darnold has been on fire, posting a passer rating of 157 in week 14, with 347 yards and 5 touchdowns on 22/28 passing. He has gone three straight games without an interception. In week 14, the Vikings scored 21 points in the 4th quarter, converting 8 of 12 3rd downs and going 4/4 in the red zone. Jordan Addison had 8 catches for 133 yards and 3 touchdowns, while Aaron Jones rushed for 73 yards on 13 carries.

Despite giving up 338 passing yards to the Falcons, the Vikings’ defense came away with two interceptions and held Atlanta to 21 points in their 42-21 victory. The Falcons had a good amount of success running the ball, gaining 158 yards on 32 attempts, including a 4.9-yard average per attempt. Minnesota’s defense also allowed Atlanta to convert on 53.8% of their third down attempts.

Minnesota’s defense did not allow any passing touchdowns in the game, but the Falcons did have a few big plays, averaging 9.1 yards per passing attempt. The Vikings’ defense managed just one sack and had a tough time in the run game, giving up 496 total yards.

The over/under line is set at 47 points for the week 15 matchup between the Packers and Seahawks. Kickoff is at 8:20 ET on Sunday, December 15th at Lumen Field in Seattle. The Packers are favored on the road, with their money line at -155, and the Seahawks’ money line at +129. This NFC matchup will be televised on NBC.

GREEN BAY PACKERS VS SEATTLE SEAHAWKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Seattle Seahawks +3

This game will be played at Lumen Field at 8:20 ET on Sunday, December 15th.

WHY BET THE SEATTLE SEAHAWKS:

• We have the Seahawks winning this one by a score of 25 to 17
• Not only do we have the Seahawks winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3
• We see this game finishing below the line of 47 points

Will The Packers Pick Up A Win On The Road?

After two straight wins, the Packers couldn’t get it done on the road in week 14, falling to the Lions 34-31. Green Bay entered the game as 3-point underdogs, and the combined 65 points easily cleared the 53-point O/U line. The loss dropped the Packers to 9-4, but they still have a 99.2% chance of making the playoffs, according to our projections. They rank 3rd in our NFL power rankings, despite sitting 3rd in the NFC North with a 1-3 division record.

Green Bay is 6-6-1 against the spread this season, with a +5.8 scoring margin. They are 4-4 ATS as favorites and 2-2-1 as underdogs. Their O/U record is also 6-6-1, with their games averaging 47.9 points compared to a 46.1-point line.

Heading into week 15, the Packers rank 8th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 26.8 points per game, which is 7th in the NFL. They are 6th in the league in yards per game, averaging 375.9, and 11th in passing yards with 231.2 per game, despite ranking 30th in pass attempts. Green Bay relies heavily on the run game, ranking 6th in rushing attempts and 5th in rushing yards per game with 144.7. They are 17th in 3rd-down conversions but have struggled in the red zone, ranking 25th in conversion percentage, despite being 2nd in attempts.

Jordan Love has posted a passer rating over 100 in each of his last three games, including a 111 rating in week 14, where he threw for 206 yards and a touchdown on 12/20 passing. Josh Jacobs rushed for 66 yards and 3 touchdowns on 18 carries, while Christian Watson led the team with 114 receiving yards on 4 catches.

In their 34-31 loss to the Lions, the Packers’ defense gave up 280 yards through the air on 78% passing. The Lions finished with 391 total yards, converting on 46.7% of their third down attempts. Green Bay defended 34 rushing attempts, allowing 111 yards on the ground (3.3 yards per attempt) and three passing touchdowns.

The Packers’ defense managed just one sack in the game but did come up with one interception. Offensively, the Packers won the tackles for loss battle by two.

Will The Seahawks Win At Home Over The Packers?

Seattle’s 30-18 win over the Cardinals in week 14 extended their winning streak to four games, improving their record to 8-5. This run has propelled the Seahawks to first place in the NFC West, though our power rankings have them 18th in the NFL. They currently have a 55.5% chance of making the playoffs and a 51.8% chance of winning the division.

Seattle is 6-6-1 against the spread this season, with four straight ATS wins. They covered as 3-point underdogs against Arizona in week 14. The O/U line was 45.5, and the teams combined for 48 points, giving the Seahawks their second straight over.

Heading into week 15, the Seahawks are 19th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 13th in the NFL in both points per game (23.2) and yards per game (344.4). Seattle has leaned heavily on the passing game, ranking 5th in passing attempts and 3rd in passing yards per game (249). On the ground, they are 24th in rushing attempts and 27th in rushing yards per game (95.4). Seattle is 15th in the league in 3rd-down conversion rate (38%) and 9th in red zone conversion percentage (45.7%).

Geno Smith has been on a roll, posting a passer rating of 110 in week 14 after throwing for 233 yards (24/30) and a touchdown without an interception. Jaxon Smith-Njigba led the team with 5 catches for 82 yards and a touchdown, while Zach Charbonnet rushed for 134 yards and 2 touchdowns on 22 carries. Seattle scored 17 points in the 1st quarter against Arizona and converted 7 of 15 3rd-down attempts, along with 2 of 5 red zone trips.

Seattle’s defense came up with two key interceptions in their 30-18 win over the Cardinals, despite allowing 121 rushing yards on just 23 attempts. The Seahawks gave up two passing touchdowns and allowed Arizona to complete 65.8% of their passes for 235 yards. They also forced the Cardinals to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down.

Overall, the Seahawks gave up 356 total yards, but their two interceptions and two sacks were crucial in securing the victory. They also won the battle in quarterback hits, finishing with a +3 differential in that category.

The Eagles are favored at -232 on the money line as they host the Steelers at 4:25 ET on Sunday, December 15th at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia. The Eagles are -4.5 point favorites on the point spread. This week 15 non-conference matchup is being televised on FOX, and the over/under line is set at 43 points.

PITTSBURGH STEELERS VS PHILADELPHIA EAGLES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers +4.5

This game will be played at Lincoln Financial Field at 4:25 ET on Sunday, December 15th.

WHY BET THE PITTSBURGH STEELERS:

• We have the Steelers winning this one by a score of 24 to 17
• Not only do we have the Steelers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +4.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 43 points

Will The Steelers Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

With two straight wins, the Steelers now sit at 10-3 and have a 79.6% chance of winning the AFC North, according to our projections. After losing to the Browns in week 12, Pittsburgh bounced back with wins over the Bengals and Browns in weeks 13 and 14, including a 27-14 victory over Cleveland, where they covered the 6-point spread. The O/U line was 42.5, and the teams combined for 41 points.

Pittsburgh is 10-3 against the spread this season, with a +6.5 scoring margin. They have a 5-0 ATS record as underdogs and are 5-3 as favorites. Their O/U record is 7-6, with their games averaging 43.2 points compared to an average line of 41.

Russell Wilson has been solid over his last three games, posting passer ratings of 101 in week 14, 126 in week 13, and 116 in week 12. In his most recent outing, he threw for 158 yards and 2 touchdowns on 15 of 26 passing against the Browns. Najee Harris led the ground game with 53 yards on 16 carries, while Pat Freiermuth had 3 catches for 48 yards and a touchdown.

Heading into week 15, the Steelers rank 16th in our offensive power rankings. They are 10th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 24.8, and 17th in total yards per game with 338.1. Pittsburgh leans heavily on the run, ranking 2nd in rushing attempts and 9th in rushing yards per game, while they are 28th in passing attempts and 22nd in passing yards.

In their most recent game, the Steelers’ defense allowed just a 15.4% conversion rate on third down. They picked off two passes and held Cleveland to 104 rushing yards on 25 attempts. Despite giving up 196 passing yards, Pittsburgh limited the Browns to just a 4.8 yards per attempt in their 27-14 win. The Browns finished with 300 total yards.

Pittsburgh’s defense also recorded three sacks in the game and won the tackles for loss battle. The Browns managed to score two passing touchdowns but struggled to sustain drives, finishing with a 58.5% completion rate.

Are The Eagles Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

With nine straight wins, the Eagles are now 11-2 and have a 98% chance of winning the NFC East, according to our projections. Philadelphia sits 5th in our power rankings and 2nd in the NFC. They are 3-0 in division games and 7-2 in conference play, and they are 5-1 at home and 6-1 on the road.

The Eagles have an average scoring margin of +8.3 points per game and are 8-5 against the spread. They are 5-5 ATS as favorites and 3-0 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 5-8, with the under hitting in their last two games.

Heading into week 15, the Eagles are 5th in our offensive power rankings. They are 8th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 26.3, and they rank 7th in yards per game with 371.1. Philadelphia relies heavily on the run game, leading the league in rushing attempts (36.4) and rushing yards per game (190.5). On the other hand, they are 31st in passing attempts and 30th in passing yards per game, with 180.6.

Jalen Hurts posted a passer rating of 110 in week 14, going 14/21 for 108 yards and 2 touchdowns. A.J. Brown led the team with 43 receiving yards on 4 catches, while Saquon Barkley rushed for 124 yards on 20 carries. The Eagles scored all 14 of their first-half points in the 2nd quarter and converted 7 of 12 3rd downs, going 3/3 in the red zone.

The Eagles’ defense came up with a key interception in their most recent game, helping them secure a 22-16 win over the Panthers. Philadelphia’s defense limited the Panthers to just 55.9% completions and 184 passing yards. They defended 43.8% of third down attempts and held Carolina to 118 yards rushing on 34 attempts.

Despite allowing 302 total yards, the Eagles kept the Panthers out of the endzone for the most part, giving up just one passing touchdown. They also came away with one interception and recorded one sack in the game.

On Sunday, December 15th, the Chargers will host the Buccaneers at 4:25 ET. The Chargers are the favorite with their money line at -158, and the game is being televised on FOX. The Buccaneers are +3 point underdogs on the road. The over/under line is set at 46.5 points for this non-conference matchup at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA.

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS VS LOS ANGELES CHARGERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3

This game will be played at SoFi Stadium at 4:25 ET on Sunday, December 15th.

WHY BET THE TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS:

• We have the Buccaneers winning this one by a score of 27 to 26
• Not only do we have the Buccaneers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3
• Look for this game to go over the line of 46.5 points

Will The Buccaneers Pick Up A Win On The Road?

The Buccaneers have now won three straight games, including a 28-13 victory over the Raiders in week 14. This win improved their record to 7-6, putting them in first place in the NFC South. Tampa Bay has a +4.2 scoring margin this season and is 8-5 against the spread. Their O/U record is also 8-5, with their games averaging 51.7 points.

Our power rankings have the Bucs 10th heading into week 15, and they have a 76% chance of making the playoffs and a 73.9% chance of winning the division. They are 4-2 on the road this season and 3-4 at home. In division games, they are 2-2, and they have a 6-3 record against NFC opponents.

Heading into week 15, the Buccaneers are 9th in our offensive power rankings. They are 5th in the NFL in points per game (27.9) and 3rd in yards per game (379.3). Tampa Bay has been strong on 3rd down, converting 47.2% of their attempts, which ranks 2nd in the league. They lead the NFL in 1st quarter scoring, averaging 7.5 points.

Baker Mayfield threw for 295 yards (18/29) and 3 touchdowns in week 14 against the Raiders, despite 2 interceptions and 4 sacks. Rachaad White rushed for 90 yards on 17 carries, while Cade Otton led the team with 70 receiving yards. Tampa Bay scored 14 points in both the 1st and 4th quarters, converting all 3 of their red zone opportunities.

In their 28-13 win over the Raiders, the Buccaneers’ defense was stingy, allowing just 13 points. They defended the pass well, giving up only 195 yards through the air and not allowing a passing touchdown. Tampa Bay also picked off one pass and held the Raiders to a 30.8% third-down conversion rate.

Against the run, the Buccaneers gave up just 91 yards on 25 attempts. They had two sacks and limited Las Vegas to 3.6 yards per attempt on the ground. Despite this, Tampa Bay did lose the tackles for loss and quarterback hit differentials in the game.

Will The Chargers Win At Home Over The Buccaneers?

At 8-5, the Chargers have a 90.5% chance of making the playoffs, but they have no shot at winning the AFC West. They rank 13th in our power rankings and 6th in the AFC standings. Against the spread, LA is 9-3-1, including an 8-1 record as favorites. Their O/U record is 4-9, with the under hitting in two straight games.

After a week 13 win over the Falcons, the Chargers couldn’t get past the Chiefs in week 14, but they did cover the 4.5-point spread, losing by just 2 points. The O/U line was 43, and the teams combined for 36 points. Before that, the over had hit in two straight Chargers games.

Justin Herbert posted a passer rating of 101 in week 14, completing 21 of 30 passes for 213 yards and a touchdown against the Chiefs. Herbert has gone three straight games without an interception. Joshua Palmer led the team with 6 catches for 78 yards in week 14, while Gus Edwards had 36 rushing yards on 10 carries. The Chargers scored 14 points in the 3rd quarter but were held to just 3 points in the 4th.

Heading into week 15, the Chargers rank 15th in our offensive power rankings. They are 18th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 21.3 points per game, and 24th in passing yards, with 198.1 per game. On the ground, they average 111.5 rushing yards per game, which ranks 19th in the league.

In the Chargers’ 19-17 loss to the Chiefs, they allowed 202 passing yards on 24 completions. The Chargers’ defense played well against the run, allowing just 96 yards on 25 attempts. They also recorded three sacks and held the Chiefs to a 3.8 yards per attempt average on the ground. Despite this, the Chargers allowed the Chiefs to convert on 53.3% of their third down attempts.

The Chargers’ defense limited the Chiefs to 298 total yards and 19 points, but they did give up one passing touchdown. Los Angeles also had a positive quarterback hit differential of +6, even though they lost the tackles for loss battle.

The Lions are favored at -1.5 as they host the Bills at 4:25 ET on Sunday, December 15th at Ford Field in Detroit. The Lions’ money line odds are -129, and the over/under line is set at 55 points. Buffalo’s record is not included, and the Lions’ record is also missing. The non-conference matchup is being televised on CBS.

BUFFALO BILLS VS DETROIT LIONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Buffalo Bills +1.5

This game will be played at Ford Field at 4:25 ET on Sunday, December 15th.

WHY BET THE BUFFALO BILLS:

• We have the Bills winning this one by a score of 29 to 22
• Not only do we have the Bills winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +1.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 55 points

Will The Bills Pick Up A Win On The Road?

Despite a 25-point win over the 49ers in week 13, the Bills couldn’t keep their momentum going, falling 44-42 to the Rams in week 14. Buffalo entered the game as 3.5-point favorites but couldn’t hold on for the win. The two teams combined for 86 points, easily surpassing the 50-point O/U line.

Heading into week 15, the Bills are 10-3, putting them 2nd in our NFL power rankings. They have a +9.9 scoring margin and are 8-5 against the spread. Buffalo has already locked up the AFC East and has a 100% chance of making the playoffs.

Josh Allen has been on a roll, posting a passer rating of 117 in week 14, with 342 yards and 3 touchdowns against the Rams. He also rushed for 82 yards and 3 touchdowns on 10 carries. Khalil Shakir led the Bills in receiving with 5 catches for 106 yards.

Buffalo ranks 2nd in the NFL in points per game, averaging 30.5, and they are 10th in total yards per game with 355. They are 8th in the league in 3rd-down conversion rate at 43.4% and 28th in red zone conversion percentage.

In their 44-42 loss to the Rams, Buffalo’s defense struggled to get off the field, as the Rams converted on 73.3% of their third down attempts. The Bills allowed 320 yards through the air on 23 completions, with the Rams averaging 10.7 yards per passing attempt. Overall, Buffalo gave up 457 total yards, with 137 of those coming on the ground. The Rams ran the ball 42 times and averaged 3.3 yards per attempt.

Buffalo’s defense failed to record a sack in the game and allowed the Rams to complete 76.7% of their passes. Additionally, the Bills gave up two passing touchdowns. Despite a couple of positive stats in the trenches, such as a +2 advantage in QB hits, the Bills couldn’t slow down the Rams’ high-powered offense.

Will The Lions Win At Home Over The Bills?

Detroit’s 12-1 record puts them atop our NFL power rankings heading into week 15. The Lions have now won 11 straight games, including a 34-31 victory over the Packers in week 14. This win improved their division record to 4-0, and they are 8-1 against NFC opponents. Our projections give Detroit a 100% chance of making the playoffs and an 89% chance of winning the NFC North.

So far, the Lions have an average scoring margin of +14.1 points per game and are 9-3-1 against the spread. They are 8-3-1 ATS as favorites and 1-0 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 6-6-1, with their games averaging 50.1 points per game.

Heading into week 15, the Lions are 3rd in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in points per game (32.1) and are 2nd in yards per game (394.8). Despite ranking 22nd in passing attempts, they are 4th in passing yards per game (243.8). Detroit is also 4th in rushing yards per game (151.1) on 32.5 attempts per game. They rank 4th in 3rd-down conversion percentage and lead the league in red zone attempts, though they are 29th in conversion percentage.

Jared Goff threw for 283 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 14, completing 32 of 41 passes with 1 interception. David Montgomery had 51 rushing yards and a touchdown on 14 carries, while Jameson Williams led the receivers with 5 catches for 80 yards. Detroit scored in every quarter against the Packers, putting up 10 points in the 2nd and 4th quarters.

In their 34-31 win over the Packers, the Lions’ defense allowed just 199 passing yards on 12 completions. Green Bay managed only a 20% conversion rate on third down and 1 touchdown through the air. Detroit defended the run well, allowing just 99 yards on 24 attempts.

The Lions’ defense also pressured the quarterback, with 4 more QB hits than Green Bay, but they only managed 1 sack. Despite giving up 298 total yards, the Lions were tough in critical situations and limited big plays.

The Colts are +170 on the money line as they head to Denver to take on the Broncos at 4:25 ET on Sunday, December 15th. The Broncos are favored at -203 on the money line and -4 on the point spread. The game is being televised on CBS, and the over/under line is set at 44 points for this week 15 AFC matchup.

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS VS DENVER BRONCOS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Denver Broncos -4

This game will be played at Empower Field at Mile High at 4:25 ET on Sunday, December 15th.

WHY BET THE DENVER BRONCOS:

• We have the Broncos winning this one by a score of 26 to 21
• Not only do we have the Broncos winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -4
• Look for this game to go over the line of 44 points

Will The Colts Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Heading into week 15, the Colts sit 8th in the AFC with a 6-7 record, giving them a 25.7% chance of making the playoffs. They rank 24th in our power rankings and are 2nd in the AFC South despite a 1-3 division record. Indianapolis is 5-4 in conference games and 3-3 at home and 3-4 on the road.

Against the spread, the Colts are 8-5, with a +2.4 scoring margin. They are 6-3 as underdogs and 2-2 as favorites. Their O/U record is 6-7, with their games averaging 43.5 points compared to an average line of 44.5.

Heading into week 15, the Colts rank 25th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 20.5 points per game (20th in the NFL) and 311.5 yards per game (23rd). They are 25th in passing yards, with 192.7 per game, on 29.7 attempts per game. On the ground, they average 118.8 rushing yards per game, ranking 14th in the league, on 26.7 attempts per game. Indianapolis ranks 21st in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage (36.6%) and 13th in red zone conversion percentage.

Anthony Richardson threw for 109 yards (12/24) with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions in week 13 against the Patriots. Jonathan Taylor led the Colts with 96 rushing yards on 25 carries, while Michael Pittman Jr. had 5 receptions for 42 yards. Indianapolis scored in every quarter, putting up 8 points in the 4th quarter.

In their 25-24 win over the Patriots, the Colts’ defense gave up 200 rushing yards on just 31 attempts, including a 75-yard touchdown run to Rhamondre Stevenson. Despite this, they managed to hold New England to 24 points and came up with four sacks and one interception. The Patriots also had success through the air, completing 80% of their passes for 222 yards, with a yards per attempt of 7.4.

Indianapolis allowed New England to convert on 54.5% of their third down attempts and the Colts’ offense put up 422 yards in the game.

Are The Broncos Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

Denver’s win over the Browns in week 13 extended their winning streak to three games, bringing their record to 8-5. The Broncos are 4-2 at home and 4-3 on the road, and they currently sit 7th in the AFC standings. Our projections give them a 73.6% chance of making the playoffs, but they have no chance of winning the AFC West. Heading into week 15, they rank 22nd in our NFL power rankings.

Denver is 10-3 against the spread this season, including four straight ATS wins. They have a +5.5 average scoring margin and are 6-0 ATS as favorites and 4-3 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 8-5, with the over hitting in their last two games. The average O/U line in their games is 40.5, and their contests have averaged 41.5 combined points.

Heading into week 15, the Broncos are 22nd in our offensive power rankings. They rank 12th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 23.5, and are 21st in yards per game with 320.2. Denver is 20th in passing yards per game (209) and 13th in passing attempts. On the ground, they rank 20th in rushing yards per game, with 111.2, on 26.4 attempts per game.

Bo Nix threw for 294 yards in week 13, completing 18 of 35 passes with one touchdown and two interceptions. Marvin Mims Jr. led the team with 105 receiving yards on three catches, while Jaleel McLaughlin had 84 rushing yards on 14 carries. Denver scored 10 points in the 4th quarter and converted 46.2% of their 3rd downs.

Denver’s defense came up with three interceptions in their most recent game against the Browns, despite giving up 475 yards through the air. The Broncos won the game 41-32, but their defense allowed Cleveland to put up 552 total yards. The Broncos also gave up 77 rushing yards on just 23 attempts.

Even though the Browns had some success moving the ball, the Broncos’ defense made key plays, forcing three turnovers. Denver’s defense also had three sacks and held Cleveland to a 47.4% conversion rate on third down. However, the Broncos allowed four passing touchdowns in the game.

The Patriots and Cardinals will face off at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, AZ. This week 15 non-conference matchup is set for 4:25 ET on Sunday, December 15th, with CBS handling the TV coverage. The Cardinals are favored by -6 on the point spread, with their money line at -269 and the Patriots at +220. The over/under line is at 45.5 points.

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS VS ARIZONA CARDINALS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New England Patriots +6

This game will be played at State Farm Stadium at 4:25 ET on Sunday, December 15th.

WHY BET THE NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS:

• We have the Patriots winning this one by a score of 26 to 24
• Not only do we have the Patriots winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +6
• Look for this game to go over the line of 45.5 points

Will The Patriots Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Heading into week 15, the Patriots are on a three-game losing streak, dropping their record to 3-10. They rank 27th in our power rankings and have a 0.0% chance of making the playoffs. New England is 1-5 at home and 2-5 on the road, including a 19-point loss to the Dolphins in week 12 and a narrow home loss to the Colts in week 13. The Patriots covered the spread against Indy, but couldn’t pull out the win, losing 25-24.

New England is 5-7-1 against the spread this season, with all of their games coming as the underdog. Their average scoring margin is -6.6 points per game. The over has hit in each of their last three games, bringing their O/U record to 8-5.

Heading into week 15, the Patriots rank 27th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 17 points per game, which is 29th in the NFL. They are 31st in passing yards per game (171.5) and 16th in passing attempts. On the ground, they rank 13th in rushing yards per game, with 119.5, on 26.3 attempts per game. New England is 23rd in the league in third-down conversion percentage (35.4%) but ranks 8th in red zone conversion percentage.

Drake Maye threw for 238 yards (24/30) and a touchdown in week 13, with one interception. Before that, he had a 222-yard performance in week 12 and a 282-yard game in week 11. Rhamondre Stevenson led the Patriots with 73 rushing yards on 18 carries in week 13, and Hunter Henry had 7 catches for 75 yards.

The Patriots’ defense did a good job against the pass in their 25-24 loss to the Colts, allowing just 109 yards through the air on 12 completions. However, they struggled against the run, giving up 144 yards on 34 attempts. New England’s defense also forced two interceptions, but they allowed two rushing touchdowns and struggled to get off the field, as the Colts converted 45.5% of their third down attempts.

Despite not recording any sacks, the Patriots held the Colts to just 253 total yards. New England’s run defense will be a focal point for improvement, as they allowed Indianapolis to control the game on the ground.

Are The Cardinals Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

Arizona’s loss to the Seahawks in week 14 was their third straight, dropping them to 6-7 on the season. Before this streak, the Cardinals had won three in a row, including a 31-6 victory over the Jets in week 10. However, they couldn’t keep the momentum going, losing to the Seahawks in week 12 and the Vikings in week 13 before falling to Seattle again in week 14. The Cardinals were 3-point favorites at home in this game but lost by 12.

Heading into week 15, Arizona ranks 15th in our NFL power rankings and has an 8.5% chance of making the playoffs. They are 8-5 against the spread this season, with a 6-2 record as underdogs but just 1-3 as favorites. Their O/U record is 5-7-1, with their games averaging 44.1 points compared to an average line of 46.8.

Heading into week 15, the Cardinals sit 14th in our offensive power rankings. They are 16th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 21.8 points per game, and rank 12th in total yards with 348 per game. Arizona has leaned on the run game, ranking 6th in rushing yards per game (139.8) on 27.2 attempts per contest. Kyler Murray has thrown for 259 yards in week 14, following a 260-yard performance in week 13 and 285 yards in week 12.

Trey McBride had 7 catches for 70 yards in week 14, after posting 96 yards in week 13 and 133 yards in week 12. James Conner led the team with 90 rushing yards on 18 carries in week 14. Arizona ranks 10th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 40.4% success rate, but they struggled in week 14, converting just 4 of 12 attempts.

In their 30-18 loss to the Seahawks, the Cardinals’ defense allowed 409 total yards and struggled to stop the run, giving up 176 rushing yards on just 31 attempts. Seattle averaged 5.7 yards per attempt on the ground. Arizona’s defense also struggled to generate pressure, as they failed to record a sack and lost the quarterback hit and tackles for loss differentials.

In the passing game, the Cardinals allowed 80% of Seattle’s passes to be completed for 233 yards. Additionally, the defense allowed one passing touchdown and allowed the Seahawks to convert on 46.7% of their third down attempts.

FOX will broadcast the week 15 AFC matchup between the Bengals and Titans, which kicks off at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 15th at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, TN. The Bengals are favored on the road with money line odds of -217, while the Titans’ money line odds are +178. The point spread favors the Bengals by -4.5 points, and the over/under line is set at 47.5 points.

CINCINNATI BENGALS VS TENNESSEE TITANS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Tennessee Titans +4.5

This game will be played at Nissan Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 15th.

WHY BET THE TENNESSEE TITANS:

• We have the Titans winning this one by a score of 24 to 19
• Not only do we have the Titans winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +4.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 47.5 points

Will The Bengals Win As Road Favorites?

With a 5-8 record, the Bengals sit 3rd in the AFC North and 17th in our power rankings. They have a +0.2 scoring margin and are 7-6 against the spread. Their O/U record is 9-4, with their games averaging 55.5 points per game. The average line in their games has been 46.7 points.

After losing 3 straight, the Bengals bounced back in week 14, beating the Cowboys 27-20. They were 4.5-point favorites and covered the spread. The O/U line for this game was 50.5 points, and the teams combined for 47. Cincinnati’s playoff chances are at 2.9% heading into week 15.

Joe Burrow has thrown for over 300 yards in each of his last three games, including a 369-yard performance in week 14 against the Cowboys, where he completed 33 of 44 passes and had 3 touchdowns. In that game, he posted a passer rating of 112. Ja’Marr Chase caught 14 passes for 177 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 14, while Chase Brown led the team in rushing with 58 yards on 14 carries.

Heading into week 15, the Bengals rank 6th in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in passing yards per game with 271.6 and are 6th in points per game, averaging 27.8. On 3rd down, they convert 45.1% of the time, which ranks 5th in the league.

Despite giving up 156 rushing yards on just 25 attempts, the Bengals’ defense held the Cowboys to 20 points in their most recent game, which Cincinnati won 27-20. Dallas managed only 166 yards passing on 16 completions. The Bengals’ defense also recorded three sacks and picked off one pass.

Cincinnati’s defense held Dallas to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down. The Bengals’ offense helped them out by controlling the ball for 34 minutes and 17 seconds of the game. The Bengals’ defense will look to improve in defending the run in their next game.

Are The Titans Going Win In At Upset At Nissan Stadium

Heading into week 15, the Titans sit 26th in our power rankings and have a 3-10 record, including a two-game losing streak. After a week 12 win over the Texans, Tennessee has dropped two straight, losing 42-19 to the Commanders in week 13 and 10-6 to the Jaguars in week 14. The Titans were 3-point favorites at home against Jacksonville but couldn’t get the win, officially eliminating them from playoff contention.

Tennessee is 2-11 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of -8.8 points per game. They are 0-4 ATS as favorites and 2-7 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 7-5-1, with their games averaging 43.8 points compared to an average line of 40.8.

Heading into week 15, the Titans are 30th in our offensive power rankings. They are 28th in points per game (17.5) and 29th in yards per game (295.4). Tennessee ranks 19th in passing attempts per game and 28th in passing yards, averaging 182.8 per game. They are 20th in rushing attempts and 18th in rushing yards per game, with 112.5. On third down, the Titans are 24th in the NFL, converting 35.3% of their attempts, but they are 2nd in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 17th in red zone attempts.

In week 14, Tennessee scored 10 points in a loss to the Jaguars, with 6 of those coming in the 3rd quarter. Will Levis threw for 168 yards, completing 19 of 32 passes, and Tony Pollard rushed for 102 yards on 21 carries. Calvin Ridley led the team with 59 receiving yards on 7 catches. The Titans converted 8 of 16 third-down attempts but failed to score on 2 red zone trips.

In their 10-6 loss to the Jaguars, the Titans’ defense gave up just 71 rushing yards on 26 attempts, with Jacksonville managing only 2.7 yards per attempt on the ground. Despite this, the Titans struggled on third downs, allowing the Jaguars to convert 46.2% of their third down attempts. The Titans’ defense also held the Jaguars to 220 passing yards and forced two interceptions.

Even though they allowed 74.2% completions, the Titans didn’t give up any passing touchdowns. They also managed one sack, and their defenders hit the quarterback more often than the Jaguars, with a QB hit advantage of +3.

With a money line of -1225, the Ravens are heavy favorites as they face the Giants at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ. The Giants’ money line odds are +741, and the Ravens are favored by -14.5 points. The over/under line is set at 43.5 points for this week 15 non-conference matchup. CBS will televise the game, which kicks off at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 15th.

BALTIMORE RAVENS VS NEW YORK GIANTS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Baltimore Ravens -14.5

This game will be played at MetLife Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 15th.

WHY BET THE BALTIMORE RAVENS:

• We have the Ravens winning this one by a score of 26 to 10
• Not only do we have the Ravens winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -14.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 43.5 points

Will The Ravens Win As Road Favorites?

Heading into week 15, the Ravens have an 8-5 record, putting them 2nd in the AFC North. Our projections give Baltimore a 97.2% chance of making the playoffs and a 20.4% chance of winning the division. They rank 4th in our NFL power rankings. After a week 12 win over the Chargers, the Ravens couldn’t keep the momentum going, losing 24-19 to the Eagles in week 13. Baltimore was favored by 3 points in that game, but the loss dropped them to 6-6-1 against the spread this season.

So far, the over has hit in 10 of the Ravens’ 13 games, including 4 of their last 5. Their games have averaged 53.9 points, with an average O/U line of 48.2. Baltimore is 6-5-1 ATS as a favorite and 0-1 as an underdog.

Heading into week 15, the Ravens lead the NFL in our offensive power rankings and are 3rd in points per game, averaging 29.5. They also lead the league in yards per game with 422.5. Baltimore ranks 5th in passing yards per game (243.4) despite being 26th in pass attempts, and they are 2nd in rushing yards per game, with 179.1, on 31.3 attempts per game.

In week 13, Lamar Jackson threw for 237 yards and 2 touchdowns, completing 23 of 36 passes. Derrick Henry rushed for 82 yards on 19 carries, and Zay Flowers led the team with 74 receiving yards on 3 catches. Baltimore scored 9 points in the 1st quarter but failed to score in the 3rd.

Despite holding the Eagles to just 112 passing yards on 11 completions, the Ravens gave up 140 rushing yards on 33 attempts in their 24-19 loss to the Eagles. Baltimore’s defense limited Philadelphia to 252 total yards and allowed just one touchdown through the air. The Ravens’ defense also held the Eagles to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down.

However, the Ravens’ offense struggled to finish drives, and Baltimore’s two defensive sacks weren’t enough to prevent the Eagles from pulling out the win.

Are The Giants Going Win In At Upset At MetLife Stadium

The Giants head into week 15 against the Ravens on an eight-game losing streak, putting their record at 2-11. This includes a 14-11 loss to the Saints in week 14, where they managed to cover the 5.5-point spread. Before that, they had a 30-7 loss to the Bucs in week 12 and a 27-20 loss to the Cowboys in week 13.

With their playoff chances at 0.0%, the Giants rank 31st in our power rankings. They are 4-9 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of -7.6 points per game. Their O/U record is also 4-9, with their games averaging 37.5 points compared to an average line of 41.5.

Heading into week 15, the Giants rank 29th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 14.9 points per game, which is 30th in the NFL. They are 26th in the league in yards per game with 301.1, and despite ranking 8th in passing attempts, they are 27th in passing yards per game with 185.5. On the ground, they average 115.6 rushing yards per game, which ranks 15th in the NFL. They are 22nd in the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage, converting 35.9% of their attempts, but they have been efficient in the red zone, ranking 3rd in the NFL with a 55.6% conversion rate.

Drew Lock has struggled in recent weeks, posting a passer rating of 48 in week 14, going 21/49 for 227 yards with 1 interception. In week 13, he threw for 178 yards and had a passer rating of 66, and in week 12, he threw for 169 yards. Malik Nabers led the team in receiving in week 14 with 5 catches for 79 yards, and Lock was also the team’s leading rusher, with 59 yards on 5 carries.

In their 14-11 loss to the Saints, the Giants’ defense allowed 200 passing yards on 20 completions. They defended the run well, giving up just 92 yards on 33 attempts. Despite this, the Giants allowed the Saints to convert 46.7% of their third downs.

New York’s defense came away with one interception, and they recorded two sacks in the game. The Giants also won the tackles for loss battle, finishing with 11 compared to the Saints’ 7.